Santos Laguna 1 - 0 Cruz Azul -

There is a 25.2% chance of a draw.
In simulations where the game is not a draw Santos Laguna, at 50.0%, are heavy favorites to beat Cruz Azul who have a 24.8% chance.
In simulation wins, Cruz Azul upsets Santos Laguna by averaging 11.0 shots and 4.6 shots on goal.
They average 2.3 goals in simulated victories vs just 0.6 in simulation losses.
Overall, the average simulation score is Santos Laguna 1.8 to Cruz Azul 1.2.