Lineups

Spal

( 4-4-2 )

  • 22. D. Thiam

  • 41. K. Bonifazi

  • 23. F. Vicari

  • 40. N. Tomović

  • 8. M. Valoti

    80'
  • 14. B. Dabo

  • 77. M. D'Alessandro Goal

    86'
  • 93. M. Fares Yellow Card

    80'
  • 7. S. Missiroli

  • 11. A. Murgia

    61'
  • 94. J. Cuéllar

    61'

Substitutes

  • 65. M. Meneghetti

  • 25. K. Letica

  • 90. K. Horváth

    61'
  • 66. B. Salamon

    80'
  • 27. Felipe

  • 4. T. Cionek

  • 19. L. Castro

  • 21. Espeto

    61'
  • 96. G. Tunjov

    86'
  • 91. A. Kryeziu

  • 6. M. Valdifiori

  • 31. F. Di Francesco

    80'

Italy - Serie A

45' M. Fares 45' Yellow Card 45'  M. Fares 90' F. Chiesa 90' Yellow Card 90'  F. Chiesa 30' A. Duncan 30' Goal 30'   Duncan A. Duncan 39' M. D'Alessandro 39' Goal 39'   D'Alessandro M. D'Alessandro 89' C. Kouamé 89' Goal 89'   Kouame C. Kouamé 90' E. Pulgar 90' Penalty 90'   Pulgar E. Pulgar
Spal

Spal

1 - 3

Fiorentina

Fiorentina

  • 30'
    0 - 1
  • 39
    1 - 1
  • HT
    1 - 1
  • 89'
    1 - 2
  • 90'
    1 - 3
  • Date: 02/08/2020
  • Time: 17:00
  • Venue: Paolo Mazza
  • Referee: Alessandro Prontera
Serie A betting tips: SPAL v Fiorentina

Date published: 7/30/2020 7:36:12 PM

Serie A betting tips: SPAL v Fiorentina

SPAL v Fiorentina is the live Serie A game on Premier Sports on Sunday, although given so little is at stake it’s hard to know why.

The hosts were relegated long ago and will finish bottom of the table. Of their 11 post-lockdown games, they have drawn two and lost nine.

It’s hard to look beyond a win for the visitors (a 4/9 chance), who will finish in the top half if they do so. How much motivation that will provide is open to question though and punters should certainly be wary of the potential for team changes on what is essentially a meaningless final day.

However, working on the assumption that there won’t be wholesale changes for Fiorentina, the value appears to lie in backing them to win to nil.

Six of SPAL’s nine losses since the resumption have come this way, while Fiorentina have been defensively solid over the past month, conceding just three goals in their last seven games and keeping four clean sheets in that period.

Another win to nil here is on offer at 2/1 – considerably more attractive than the simple win price in the match result market.

There’s also an interesting contender in the anytime goalscorer market.

Fiorentina centre-back Nikola Milenkovic, a reported target of Manchester United, has scored five times this season, including in both of his last two games.

He’s a threat from set-plays but also possesses a decent shot.

With SPAL having conceded three or more in six of their 11 post-lockdown matches, including six at home to Roma less than a fortnight ago, Fiorentina could well score a few here.

Milenkovic is therefore worth a punt at 5/1 to find the net again.

*All prices correct at the time of writing and subject to change

 

Best Bet

 

Simulation

Fiorentina vs SPAL

There is a 27.3% chance of a draw.
In simulations where the game is not a draw Fiorentina, at 51.1%, are heavy favorites to beat SPAL who have just a 21.6% chance to win at home.
Overall, the average simulation score is Fiorentina 1.5 to SPAL 0.9.
In simulation wins, SPAL upsets Fiorentina by averaging 10.1 shots and 3.5 shots on goal.
They average 1.9 goals in simulated victories vs just 0.4 in simulation losses.

TV Channels

  • On Air Time
  • 19:00 02/08/2020
  • 19:00 02/08/2020

Match Information

  • Serie A
  • Round 38
  • Paolo Mazza
  • Alessandro Prontera
  • 02 Aug, 17:00

Predictions

Markets Odds Probability% Bet Here
Over 0.5 In 1st Half
5/6 Bookmaker
75%Panelty

Bet Here

Both Teams To Score
20/21 Bookmaker
64%Panelty

Bet Here

Last Goal After 73 Minutes
5/6 Bookmaker
64%Panelty

Bet Here

Over 2.5 In Full Time
2/1 Bookmaker
61%Panelty

Bet Here

Betting Tips

Markets Odds Rating Bet Here

To Score At Any Time - Nikola Milenkovic

5/1 Bookmaker

Bet Here

Betting Tips

Markets Odds Rating Bet Here

To Score At Any Time - Nikola Milenkovic

5/1 Bookmaker

Bet Here

League Table

Place Team GP Won Draw Lost GF GA GD Points
1 Juventus 38 26 5 7 76 43 33 83
2 Inter Milan 38 24 10 4 81 36 45 82
3 Atalanta 38 23 9 6 98 48 50 78
4 Lazio 38 24 6 8 79 42 37 78
5 Roma 38 21 7 10 77 51 26 70
6 AC Milan 38 19 9 10 63 46 17 66
7 Napoli 38 18 8 12 61 50 11 62
8 Sassuolo 38 14 9 15 69 63 6 51
9 Fiorentina 38 12 13 13 51 48 3 49
10 Parma 38 14 7 17 68 66 2 49
11 Hellas Verona 38 12 13 13 47 51 -4 49
12 Bologna 38 12 11 15 55 68 -13 47
13 Cagliari 38 11 12 15 52 56 -4 45
14 Udinese 38 12 9 17 37 51 -14 45
15 Sampdoria 38 12 6 20 48 65 -17 42
16 Torino 38 11 7 20 49 71 -22 40
17 Genoa 38 10 9 19 47 73 -26 39
18 Lecce 38 9 8 21 61 97 -36 35
19 Brescia 38 6 7 25 35 79 -44 25
20 Spal 38 5 5 28 27 77 -50 20
UEFA Champions League group stage
Europa League group stage
Europa League second qualifying round
Italy - Serie B

Spal

Fiorentina

  • Pd
  • W
  • D
  • L
  • Pts
  • Rank
  • Pd
  • W
  • D
  • L
  • Pts
  • Rank
  • Overall Record
  • 38
  • 5
  • 5
  • 28
  • 20
  • 20
  • 38
  • 12
  • 13
  • 13
  • 49
  • 9
  • Away Record
  • 19
  • 2
  • 4
  • 13
  • 10
  • 20
  • 19
  • 5
  • 8
  • 6
  • 23
  • 9
  • Home Record
  • 19
  • 3
  • 1
  • 15
  • 10
  • 20
  • 19
  • 7
  • 5
  • 7
  • 26
  • 9
  • Home
  • Away
  • Overall
  • Home
  • Away
  • Overall
  • Goal for
  • 16
  • 11
  • 27
  • 22
  • 29
  • 51
  • Average Goal For
  • -24
  • -26
  • -50
  • 0
  • 3
  • 3
  • Goal Against
  • 40
  • 37
  • 77
  • 22
  • 26
  • 48
  • Pd
  • W
  • D
  • L
  • Pts
  • Rank
  • Pd
  • W
  • D
  • L
  • Pts
  • Rank
  • Last 8 Overall
  • 8
  • 3
  • 1
  • 4
  • 20
  • 20
  • 8
  • 6
  • 1
  • 1
  • 49
  • 9
  • Last 5 Away
  • 5
  • 1
  • 0
  • 4
  • 20
  • 20
  • 5
  • 3
  • 1
  • 1
  • 49
  • 9
  • Last 5 Home
  • 5
  • 2
  • 1
  • 2
  • 20
  • 20
  • 5
  • 4
  • 1
  • 0
  • 49
  • 9

Recent Head-to-Head Results

02-Aug-2020
Spal 1-3 Fiorentina
12-Jan-2020
Fiorentina 1-0 Spal
17-Feb-2019
Spal 1-4 Fiorentina
22-Sep-2018
Fiorentina 3-0 Spal
15-Apr-2018
Fiorentina 0-0 Spal
19-Nov-2017
Spal 1-1 Fiorentina

Spal Last 5 Games

19/09/2020
Udinese 0-1 Spal
W
11/09/2020
Spal 2-0 Vis Pesaro
W
06/09/2020
Spal 2-1 Pontedera
W
02/08/2020
Spal 1-3 Fiorentina
L
29/07/2020
Hellas Verona 3-0 Spal
L

Fiorentina Last 5 Games

19/09/2020
Fiorentina 1-0 Torino
W
06/09/2020
Fiorentina 5-0 Lucchese
W
02/08/2020
Spal 1-3 Fiorentina
W
29/07/2020
Fiorentina 4-0 Bologna
W
26/07/2020
Roma 2-1 Fiorentina
L

Lineups

Spal
(4-4-2)
Fiorentina
(3-5-2)
  • 22. D. Thiam

  • 41. K. Bonifazi

  • 23. F. Vicari

  • 40. N. Tomović

  • 8. M. Valoti

    80'
  • 14. B. Dabo

  • 77. M. D'Alessandro Goal

    86'
  • 93. M. Fares Yellow Card

    80'
  • 7. S. Missiroli

  • 11. A. Murgia

    61'
  • 94. J. Cuéllar

    61'

Substitutes

  • 65. M. Meneghetti

  • 25. K. Letica

  • 90. K. Horváth

    61'
  • 66. B. Salamon

    80'
  • 27. Felipe

  • 4. T. Cionek

  • 19. L. Castro

  • 21. Espeto

    61'
  • 96. G. Tunjov

    86'
  • 91. A. Kryeziu

  • 6. M. Valdifiori

  • 31. F. Di Francesco

    80'
  • 1. P. Terracciano

    90'
  • 17. F. Ceccherini

  • 4. N. Milenković

  • 98. Igor

  • 21. Pol Lirola

  • 23. L. Venuti

    65'
  • 19. K. Agudelo

    55'
  • 8. A. Duncan Goal

    90'
  • 78. E. Pulgar Penalty

  • 25. F. Chiesa Yellow Card

    90'
  • 9. D. Vlahović

    65'

Substitutes

  • 69. B. Drągowski

  • 33. F. Brancolini

  • 1. P. Terracciano

    90'
  • 22. M. Cáceres

  • 29. Dalbert Henrique

  • 20. G. Pezzella

  • 0. M. Badelj

  • 24. M. Benassi

  • 11. C. Kouamé Goal

    55'
  • 63. P. Cutrone

    65'
  • 11. R. Sottil

    65'

Live Match Stats

Spal Spal
Fiorentina Fiorentina
3
Corners
10
4
Shots On Target
10
45
Possession
55
1
Yellow Cards
1
0
Red Cards
0
4
Shots Off Target
17
70
Attacks
100
35
Dangerous
67

Statistics

Spal Spal
Fiorentina Fiorentina
38
Games Played
38

Results

Spal Spal
Fiorentina Fiorentina
5
Wins
12
5
Draws
13
28
Lossed
13

Goal Scoring

Spal Spal
Fiorentina Fiorentina
27
Goals Scored
51
0.71
Average Goals Per Game
1.34
57
More > 2.5 Goals
51
0
More > 3 Goals
2
3
Won More > 1 Goal
10

Other

Spal Spal
Fiorentina Fiorentina
77
Goals Conceded
48
16
Did Not Score
9
51
Both Teams Scored
62
3
Clean Sheets
11
2
Won Without Conceding
5

Spal v Fiorentina

    Lineups

    Fiorentina

    ( 3-5-2 )

    • 1. P. Terracciano

      90'
    • 17. F. Ceccherini

    • 4. N. Milenković

    • 98. Igor

    • 21. Pol Lirola

    • 23. L. Venuti

      65'
    • 19. K. Agudelo

      55'
    • 8. A. Duncan Goal

      90'
    • 78. E. Pulgar Penalty

    • 25. F. Chiesa Yellow Card

      90'
    • 9. D. Vlahović

      65'

    Substitutes

    • 69. B. Drągowski

    • 33. F. Brancolini

    • 1. P. Terracciano

      90'
    • 22. M. Cáceres

    • 29. Dalbert Henrique

    • 20. G. Pezzella

    • 0. M. Badelj

    • 24. M. Benassi

    • 11. C. Kouamé Goal

      55'
    • 63. P. Cutrone

      65'
    • 11. R. Sottil

      65'