The winner of Saturday night’s game between Atalanta and Inter Milan will finish runners-up in Serie A, although how much motivation that provides remains to be seen.
With both sides having European fixtures looming, the team news is tough to predict.
Logic would suggest Atalanta will go closer to full strength than Inter, whose Europa League last-16 clash with Getafe is on Wednesday. Atalanta’s Champions League quarter-final with PSG is not until the following week.
However, the noises coming from Inter boss Antonio Conte in midweek were encouraging as he said this game would be “a good test to see where we stand right now”. Still, it is had to see him going with the same XI which he plans to face Getafe with.
Striker Lauturo Martinez and defender Diego Godin were among those rested in midweek so they could return, along with Roberto Gagliardini who was suspended for Tuesday’s win over Napoli. It would not be a surprise to see Romelu Lukaku given the night off.
Given Atalanta will have a week and a half to prepare for PSG, expect something close to their best-available XI. They are still without injured top scorer Josip Ilicic but Duvan Zapata and Luis Muriel have been in hot form in front of goal. Rafael Toloi is available again in defence after a ban.
In the circumstances and with home advantage, Atalanta look backable at 6/5.
They are unbeaten since lockdown ended with nine wins from 12 games.
Both teams have been full of goals – both have scored more than champions Juventus – and the hosts need just two to reach 100 for the season, an incredible achievement in Serie A.
They will surely be out to get them and over 2.5 goals looks probable, although it’s hard to back at 4/9 given it has landed in only six of those recent 12 Atalanta games.
Taking a punt on a related correct score is probably of better value with 2-1 at 17/2 looking tempting given the goal power available.
Atalanta to win and both teams to score at 5/2 is also worth noting.
*All prices correct at the time of writing and subject to change