Manchester City will be looking to defend their 2-1 lead over Real Madrid when they host the Spanish champions in the second leg of their Last 16 Champions League tie.
Goals from Gabriel Jesus and Kevin de Bruyne sealed a famous win for City away at the Bernabeu. However, a lot has changed since that February evening encounter with both sides enjoying a varying amount of success.
While Real Madrid enjoyed an 11-match unbeaten run to claim the La Liga title, Manchester City had to surrender the Premier League crown to Liverpool before bowing out of the FA Cup to eventual winners Arsenal.
Despite this, the bookmakers have priced the hosts as the 7/10 favourites while demoting Real Madrid to an unfamiliar status of underdogs at the current price of 31/10.
One explanation may be City’s encouraging home form. Since the season resumed in England, Pep Guardiola’s men won all six of their games at the Etihad; scoring 24 goals and conceding one in the process.
This is an impressive run of results however, Real will not be easily intimidated especially considering their own away form.
Since the season resumed in Spain, Zinedine Zidane’s men are unbeaten in their five away games having won four and drawn one.
While Los Blancos may not have been scoring as many goals as their English counterparts, Real have proved hard to break down and well organised at the back.
The absence of Sergio Ramos will certainly make life hard for the Madrid outfit however, with the side currently available at 31/10, our recommendation has to be to back them.
What’s more, with City possessing a sketchy history in the Champions League, it certainly makes this outright bet jut that little bit more alluring.
*All prices correct at time of writing and are subject to change