All eyes are on the Estadio da Luz in Lisbon on Wednesday as dark horses Atalanta face off against Ligue 1 champions Paris Saint-Germain in the Champions League quarter-final, which kicks off the final eight mini-tournament in Portugal.
Atalanta are the first side since Bobby Robson’s Newcastle in 2002 to make the knockout stages of this tournament after losing their first three games of the group stage, but they recovered to take seven points from their second outings against Dynamo Zagreb, Manchester City and Shakhtar Donetsk and qualified behind Pep Guardiola’s men in the end.
The Serie A side have been a free-scoring outfit this season, scoring 96 goals in their Serie A campaign. Only City and Bayern Munich have managed more in Europe’s top five leagues, and that ability to find the back of the net has stayed with them in this competition, having struck four goals past Valencia in both legs of their last 16 clash - although Josip Ilicic, scorer of all four at Valencia, is a major doubt here having been in and out of the squad since lockdown.
They come into this match in fine fettle, too, having secured a top-four finish in Serie A to qualify for next year’s edition of this tournament. No side in Serie A managed more points than Gian Piero Gasperini's after lockdown, winning nine and losing just one of 13 matches since the restart.
Paddy Power price Colombian strikers Duvan Zapata and Luis Muriel at 5/1 and 6/1 to score anytime respectively. They’ve each scored 18 goals in Serie A this season, but Zapata is the more likely to start here - with Muriel usually used as an impact substitute this season (11 of his 18 league goals have come off the bench).
Neymar at 4/1 is the favourite in the anytime goalscorer market. The Brazilian will take a lot of the responsibility for the Parisians here, with top scorer Kylian Mbappe (18 goals from 20 league appearances and five from seven in this tournament) the same price but a major doubt to start here.
PSG are chasing a quadruple and their first Champions League semi-final of the Qatar investment era, having already secured a domestic treble - with victories over Saint-Etienne and Lyon in the two French cup finals, their only competitive outings in five months after sealing the league title in March with the early curtailment of the Ligue 1 season.
Given Atalanta’s goalscoring exploits this season but struggles with keeping clean sheets, we recommend backing a high-scoring clash here. Their last Champions League outing was a seven-goal thriller 4-3 victory over Valencia, for example. Over 4.5 goals is priced at 10/3 on Betfair Sportsbook.
*All prices correct at the time of writing and subject to change
Over 4.5 Goals - 10/3 (Betfair Sportsbook)