Paderborn’s survival hopes hang by a thread and their situation won’t be made any easier this weekend as they take on RB Leipzig.
One look at the outright odds will tell you everything you need to know about this game. The bookmakers, fans and experts alike are expecting Leipzig to win and do it comfortably.
However, historically Paderborn have never made it easy for Leipzig whenever the two forces have come head to head. Earlier this season, RasenBallsport managed a slender 3-2 win and in the fixture before that, Leipzig only won by a goal to nil.
Despite sitting bottom-of-the-table, Paderborn are a side that always put on a spirited display. That was certainly the case last weekend in their 6-1 defeat to Borussia Dortmund. The scoreline certainly doesn’t suggest this however, it’s a fact that at the 73rd minute mark, Paderborn were only 2-1 down and still in the contest before their eventual capitulation.
Interestingly, since football returned in Germany, Leipzig are yet to win on home turf. Their first game at the Red Bull Arena ended in a 1-1 draw with Freiburg while the visit of Hertha Berlin also ended in a tie.
Bearing all this in mind, this may not be as big of a mauling as most predict this to be. Let’s not forget, both teams have huge aims to play for.
With this in mind, we propose two recommendations; one certainly a lot more adventurous than the other.
Firstly, Timo Werner to score first and the game to end in a 2-2 draw is a scorecast that’s currently priced at a massive 65/1. With the player still in the race for the golden boot, he will certainly be keen to get on the board early.
What’s more, a similar bet to this landed earlier in the season as Leipzig took on Lyon in the Champions League. Werner scored one of the goals in that game and the match also ended in a 2-2 draw.
Our second recommendation is less adventurous but nevertheless, this game to end in a draw is still strongly priced at 7/1.
Leipzig have drawn all three of their last home league games while Paderborn have managed three daws from their last four Bundesliga fixtures; two of those away from home.
*All prices correct at time of writing and are subject to change