West Ham United v Leicester City - Match Preview

West Ham United v Leicester City

It's 11th versus seventh at the London Stadium on Saturday, with West Ham looking to avoid a fourth straight league defeat.

Paddy Power pre-match odds: West Ham 21/10, Draw 12/5, Leicester 5/4*

 

Despite a much improved display, the Hammers went down 2-1 at Manchester United last weekend and that made it five defeats in seven matches - leaving them five points behind Leicester.

 

West Ham have an impressive home record this term, with just one defeat in their last seven home league games, and are unbeaten in their last three meetings with the Foxes.

 

Manuel Pellegrini has been boosted by the news that Jack Wilshere and Carlos Sanchez have trained without problems this week and both could come into contention. Marko Arnautovic has also recovered from illness and is expect to start on Saturday afternoon.

 

The hosts though are without Manuel Lanzini and Samir Nasri due to injury, while Javier Hernandez will face a late check having missed training on Wednesday and Thursday due to an ear issue.

 

Leicester boss Brendan Rodgers has revealed that Marc Albrighton comes into contention for the trip to the capital. The winger has been sidelined for two months with a hamstring problem, but made a 10-minute cameo in last week's defeat to Newcastle.

 

The only players now missing for the Foxes, who are seeking a third consecutive away win, are long-term absentees Daniel Amartey and Matty James.

 

October's clash at the King Power Stadium finished in a 1-1 draw, with Wilfred Ndidi grabbing a last-minute equaliser for Leicester against 10-man West Ham, following Mark Noble's first-half red card.

 

Betting Tips 

 

Since the arrival of the former Celtic and Liverpool manager to the King Power Stadium, things have really picked up for Leicester City. 

 

The Foxes were on a four-match win run before finally being beaten at home to relegation threatened Newcastle United. 

 

West Ham are currently on course to set a four-match streak of their own however, it’s certainly not one which they’ll be celebrating. Following three successive defeats to Everton, Chelsea and Manchester United, Manuel Pallegrini’s men will be desperate to end their dire run. 

 

One thing that the head to head record suggests to us is that West Ham do indeed have a chance in this game. The Hammers are unbeaten against Leicester in three straight encounters. What’s more, the Foxes have only recorded two wins from their last seven trips away to West Ham. 

 

A case can easily be made for either team in what shapes up to be a tight Premier League encounter. With such a tough game to call the recommendation has to be a draw at 13/5. 

 

Recommendation

Draw – 13/5 bet365*

*prices correct at time of posting and are subject to change

Predictions

Markets Odds Probability %
Over 0.5 In 1st Half 5/2
74%
Both Teams To Score 11/10
62%
Last Goal After 73 Minutes 10/11
56%

Betting Tips

Markets Odds Rating Bet Here
Betting Tips Not available.

Betting Tips

Betting Tips Not available.

Simulation

Leicester City vs West Ham United

There is a 26.8% chance of a draw.
In simulations where the game is not a draw Leicester City, at 42.7%, are solid favorites to beat West Ham United who have a 30.6% chance at home.
Overall, the average simulation score is Leicester City 1.6 to West Ham United 1.3.
In simulation wins, West Ham United upsets Leicester City by averaging 8.8 shots and 4.2 shots on goal.
They average 2.4 goals in simulated victories vs just 0.7 in simulation losses.

West Ham United Player Prediction

Players Shots SG Goals G%
Felipe Anderson 1.32 0.69 0.37 30.84%
R. Snodgrass 1.2 0.44 0.13 12.78%
F. Balbuena 0.93 0.08 0.06 5.88%

Leicester City Player Prediction

Players Shots SG Goals G%
J. Vardy 2 1.01 0.44 35.8%
D. Gray 1.32 0.42 0.12 11.48%

League Table

Place Team GP Won Draw Lost GF GA +/- Points
1 Manchester City 38 32 2 4 95 23 72 98
2 Liverpool 38 30 7 1 89 22 67 97
3 Chelsea 38 21 9 8 63 39 24 72
4 Tottenham 38 23 2 13 67 39 28 71
5 Arsenal 38 21 7 10 73 51 22 70
6 Manchester United 38 19 9 10 65 54 11 66
7 Wolverhampton Wanderers 38 16 9 13 47 46 1 57
8 Everton 38 15 9 14 54 46 8 54
9 Leicester City 38 15 7 16 51 48 3 52
10 West Ham United 38 15 7 16 52 55 -3 52
11 Watford 38 14 8 16 52 59 -7 50
12 Crystal Palace 38 14 7 17 51 53 -2 49
13 Newcastle United 38 12 9 17 42 48 -6 45
14 AFC Bournemouth 38 13 6 19 56 70 -14 45
15 Burnley 38 11 7 20 45 68 -23 40
16 Southampton 38 9 12 17 45 65 -20 39
17 Brighton and Hove Albion 38 9 9 20 35 60 -25 36
18 Cardiff City 38 10 4 24 34 69 -35 34
19 Fulham 38 7 5 26 34 81 -47 26
20 Huddersfield Town 38 3 7 28 22 76 -54 16

Head To Head Comparison

22.01.2020
Leicester City
West Ham United
28.12.2019
West Ham United
Leicester City
20.04.2019
West Ham United
Leicester City
27.10.2018
Leicester City
West Ham United
05.05.2018
Leicester City
West Ham United
24.11.2017
West Ham United
Leicester City
18.03.2017
West Ham United
Leicester City
31.12.2016
Leicester City
West Ham United
17.04.2016
Leicester City
West Ham United
22.09.2015
Leicester City
West Ham United
15.08.2015
West Ham United
Leicester City
04.04.2015
Leicester City
West Ham United
20.12.2014
West Ham United
Leicester City

Last 5 Games

08.07.2020
West Ham United
Burnley
05.07.2020
Newcastle United
West Ham United
01.07.2020
West Ham United
Chelsea
23.06.2020
Tottenham
West Ham United
20.06.2020
West Ham United
Wolverhampton Wanderers

Last 5 Games

07.07.2020
Arsenal
Leicester City
04.07.2020
Leicester City
Crystal Palace
01.07.2020
Everton
Leicester City
28.06.2020
Leicester City
Chelsea
23.06.2020
Leicester City
Brighton and Hove Albion