Finished Tottenham Burnley - Match Preview

Serge Aurier set for Tottenham return after recovering from calf injury

Tottenham will welcome back Serge Aurier for the visit of Burnley.

The right back has missed the last four matches with a calf injury but is in condition to play, according to boss Jose Mourinho.

Giovani Lo Celso is back training with the group, but he will not be ready for another couple of weeks after a long hamstring injury.

With a week between games, Burnley have seen their injury problems begin to ease.

The break has allowed Chris Wood and Dale Stephens to return to training, while Jay Rodriguez has shaken off a knock.

However, Robbie Brady and Ashley Barnes remain sidelined and Johann Berg Gudmundsson is also unlikely to feature, with Erik Pieters described as “touch and go”.

Tottenham provisional squad: Lloris, Hart, Aurier, Tanganga, Doherty, Dier, Alderweireld, Rodon, Sanchez, Reguilon, Davies, Hojbjerg, Winks, Sissoko, Ndombele, Alli, Lamela, Moura, Kane, Vinicius, Bale, Son.

Burnley provisional squad: Pope, Pieters, Lowton, Tarkowski, Mee, Cork, Taylor, McNeil, Westwood, Vydra, Peacock-Farrell, Bardsley, Long, Dunne, Berg Gudmundsson, Stephens, Driscoll-Glennon, Benson, Rodriguez, Mumbongo, Brownhill, Wood.

 

Best Bet

 

Prediction for Tottenham v Burnley
Jose Mourinho has an arrogant switch that just can’t be turned off. I get that he is basically one of the best football managers of the modern ere, but can’t he just flick the humble switch now and again? Tottenham’s season has obviously tanked like you would not believe. On December 6 after brushing aside Arsenal 2-0 they went top. They looked like legit title challengers. Then boom. Spurs have lost seven of their 13 league matches since. They are now ninth in the league and a top four finish looks beyond them. Mourinho now leads the Premier League sack race (he’s as short as 2/1 with Paddy Power) and it looks increasingly likely he’ll be gone before the end of the season. Don’t feel overly sorry for ‘The Special One’ though as he will leave with a hefty compensation package and basically just blame other factors for Tottenham’s p**s-poor capitulation in recent months. They should steamroll Burnley here but 8/15 looks a joke price.

Betting: 1-1 draw at 13/2 (Paddy Power)

 

Simulation

Burnley vs Tottenham Hotspur

There is a 10.3% chance of a draw.
In simulations where the game is not a draw Tottenham Hotspur, at 87.3%, are heavy favorites to beat Burnley who have a 2.4% chance.
In simulation wins, Burnley upsets Tottenham Hotspur by averaging 4.8 shots and 2.3 shots on goal.
They average 1.4 goals in simulated victories vs just 0.2 in simulation losses.
Overall, the average simulation score is Tottenham Hotspur 2.6 to Burnley 0.3.

 

     

     

     

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