Lineups

Leeds United

( 4-1-4-1 )

  • 1. I. Meslier

  • 6. L. Cooper

  • 15. S. Dallas Yellow Card

  • 2. L. Ayling

  • 5. R. Koch

  • 23. K. Phillips

  • 43. M. Klich

    77'
  • 10. E. Alioski

    46'
  • 11. T. Roberts

    56'
  • 9. P. Bamford Yellow Card

  • 17. Hélder Costa

Substitutes

  • 25. E. Caprile

  • 14. Llorente

  • 21. P. Struijk

  • 24. L. Davis

    77'
  • 46. J. Shackleton

  • 7. I. Poveda-Ocampo

    46'
  • 20. Rodrigo Goal

    56'

England - Premier League

12' P. Bamford 12' Yellow Card 12'  P. Bamford 36' B. Mendy 36' Yellow Card 36'  B. Mendy 90' S. Dallas 90' Yellow Card 90'  S. Dallas 17' R. Sterling 17' Goal 17'   Sterling R. Sterling 59' Rodrigo 59' Goal 59'   Rodrigo Rodrigo
Leeds United

Leeds United

1 - 1

Manchester City

Manchester City

  • 17'
    0 - 1
  • HT
    0 - 1
  • 59
    1 - 1
  • Date: 03/10/2020
  • Time: 17:30
  • Venue: Elland Road
  • Referee: Mike Dean
Premier League Betting Tips: Leeds v Man City

Date published: 10/1/2020 7:27:18 PM

Premier League Betting Tips: Leeds v Man City

Saturday afternoon sees an intriguing contest between Pep Guardiola and his mentor Marcelo Bielsa as newly-promoted Leeds United host Manchester City.

Leeds come into this fixture in good form after back-to-back wins over Fulham at home (4-3) and Sheffield United away (0-1), having put up a good fight against Liverpool in their opening fixture, a 4-3 defeat to the champions at Anfield.

 

Marcelo Bielsa’s men also come into this contest off the back of a week’s rest, having exited te League Cup at the first hurdle earlier in the season.

 

Manchester City, meanwhile, lost 5-2 at home to Leicester last Saturday - a shock defeat, and the first time one of Pep Guardiola’s teams have conceded five goals in one match as the Catalan coach enters his 11th year in top-level management.

 

They looked a bit more like themselves in their midweek 3-0 victory over Burnley in the League Cup, while their defence could be strengthened by the record signing of £62m Benfica man Ruben Dias, although their only two senior strikers - Gabriel Jesus and Sergio Aguero - are sidelined. 

 

This is the first meeting between Leeds and Manchester City since a 2013 FA Cup clash, a comfortable 4-0 victory for City at The Etihad, while this is City’s first trip to Elland Road since March 2004 - a 2-1 win for Leeds, a few weeks before their relegation and subsequent 16-year top-flight exile. 

 

It’s also the first meeting between Bielsa and Guardiola since the 2011/12 season, in which Barcelona took four points from the Argentinian’s Athletic Bilbao side before beating them 3-0 in the Copa del Rey final - Guardiola’s final match in charge of his boyhood club.

 

In spite of City’s issues last weekend, Betfair Sportsbook still back them as strong favourites to come away with three points here. They’re just 1/3 for the away victory, 9/2 for just a draw, while a home win for Leeds is priced at long odds of 6/1. 

 

Over 2.5 goals - which has been the case in four of the two side’s five Premier League matches so far, with an average of four goals a game - is priced at just 3/10.

 

We recommend backing another high-scoring game here, with Manchester City’s defence looking increasingly susceptible to teams that have the courage to attack them - as Bielsa’s Leeds undoubtedly will. Paddy Power offer odds of 11/5 for over 4.5 goals here, which was the case in Leeds’ first two matches and City’s defeat last week.

 

If you’re looking to back a scoreline, a 4-2 victory for Manchester City is available for odds of 22/1.

 

*All prices correct at the time of writing and subject to change

 

Best Bet

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Match Information

  • Premier League
  • Round 4
  • Elland Road
  • Mike Dean
  • 03 Oct, 17:30

Betting Tips

Markets Odds Rating Bet Here

Handicap Betting - Manchester City (-2)

9/5 Bookmaker

Bet Here

Total Goals - Over 4.5

3.30 Bookmaker

Bet Here

 

                   

                   

                   

                   

     

                           

                           

                           

 

         

         

         

         

         

Lineups

Leeds United
(4-1-4-1)
Manchester City
(4-3-3)
  • 1. I. Meslier

  • 6. L. Cooper

  • 15. S. Dallas Yellow Card

  • 2. L. Ayling

  • 5. R. Koch

  • 23. K. Phillips

  • 43. M. Klich

    77'
  • 10. E. Alioski

    46'
  • 11. T. Roberts

    56'
  • 9. P. Bamford Yellow Card

  • 17. Hélder Costa

Substitutes

  • 25. E. Caprile

  • 14. Llorente

  • 21. P. Struijk

  • 24. L. Davis

    77'
  • 46. J. Shackleton

  • 7. I. Poveda-Ocampo

    46'
  • 20. Rodrigo Goal

    56'
  • 31. Ederson Moraes

  • 3. Rúben Dias

  • 2. K. Walker

  • 22. B. Mendy Yellow Card

    72'
  • 14. A. Laporte

  • 17. K. De Bruyne

  • 47. P. Foden

  • 16. Rodri

  • 7. R. Sterling Goal

  • 26. R. Mahrez

    77'
  • 21. Ferran Torres

    65'

Substitutes

  • 13. Z. Steffen

  • 5. J. Stones

  • 6. N. Aké

    72'
  • 25. Fernandinho

    77'
  • 80. C. Palmer

  • 20. Bernardo Silva

    65'
  • 48. L. Delap

 

       

         

         

         

         

         

Simulation

Manchester City vs Leeds United

There is a 19.0% chance of a draw.
In simulations where the game is not a draw Manchester City, at 65.1%, are heavy favorites to beat Leeds United who have just a 15.8% chance to win at home.
Overall, the average simulation score is Manchester City 2.5 to Leeds United 1.2.
In simulation wins, Leeds United upsets Manchester City by averaging 9.3 shots and 4.2 shots on goal.
They average 2.5 goals in simulated victories vs just 0.8 in simulation losses.

Leeds United v Manchester City

    Audio

    • FT Report
    • FT
    • Update
    • Goal
    • Half Time
    • Update
    • Goal
    • Update
    • Lineup
    • Preview
    Leeds United 1 - 1 Manchester City - Match Report

    Date published: 10/3/2020 8:47:54 PM

    Leeds fight back to earn thrilling draw against Manchester City

    Rodrigo earned Leeds a point from an impressive display.

    Rodrigo’s first Premier League goal gained Leeds a deserved point in a pulsating 1-1 draw against Manchester City at Elland Road.

    Raheem Sterling’s drilled finish was all City had to show for a dominant first half and Leeds’ club-record £27million signing Rodrigo equalised from close range in the 59th minute.

    The Spain striker’s header had been turned on to the crossbar by City goalkeeper Ederson minutes earlier, while Kevin De Bruyne’s early free-kick struck the woodwork.

    City had enough chances early in the first half to have put the result beyond doubt, but Leeds grew in both confidence and stature after riding an early storm and created plenty of chances themselves.

    It was another thrilling spectacle involving Marcelo Bielsa’s side and a fair result, but Pep Guardiola was left to rue a string of missed first-half chances.

    De Bruyne’s curling 30-yard free-kick struck Leeds goalkeeper Illan Meslier’s right-hand post in the third minute as City made an impressive start.

    Robin Koch’s timely block diverted De Bruyne’s drive after Meslier’s mis-placed pass and from the subsequent corner City’s new £62million signing Ruben Dias headed narrowly wide.

    Ezgjan Alioski headed Leeds’ first chance over the crossbar, but it was all City in the opening exchanges and there was an air of inevitability about their opening goal.

    Benjamin Mendy created the overload down the left and after Liam Cooper failed to clear, Sterling jinked inside Luke Ayling and buried a low shot inside the far post.

    Phil Foden dragged his shot wide from in front of goal after being teed up by Sterling as City chased another goal that would certainly not have flattered them.

    But Leeds responded through Patrick Bamford’s diagonal shot after neat interplay between Mateusz Klich and Helder Costa and the home side began to grow in confidence.

    Foden fizzed a shot off target, but City were indebted to Ederson in the 36th minute when Stuart Dallas raced into the box after another flowing Leeds move, but his effort was smothered by the Brazilian goalkeeper.

    And having ridden the early storm, the home side should have gone in level at the break. Ayling pounced on Mendy’s mistake and Ederson again came to City’s rescue.

    Leeds substitute Ian Poveda, on at half-time for Alioski, made an instant impression as his run and cross was turned away by Dias.

    Match Highlights



    Bielsa’s side picked up where they had left off at the end of the first half, with several sweeping moves pushing City on to the back foot.

    Rodrigo replaced Tyler Roberts and his shot clipped the top of the crossbar before Leeds hauled themselves level in the 59th minute.

    Ederson made a hash of his attempt to punch clear Phillips’ corner and Rodrigo turned home the loose ball from close range.

    The City keeper made amends soon after when pushing Rodrigo’s goalbound header on to the crossbar as Leeds looked the more likely to find a winner.

    Bamford was foiled by Ederson in a one-on-one in the closing stages and then almost won it for City at the death when his header following a corner was held by Meslier.

    Lineups

    Manchester City

    ( 4-3-3 )

    • 31. Ederson Moraes

    • 3. Rúben Dias

    • 2. K. Walker

    • 22. B. Mendy Yellow Card

      72'
    • 14. A. Laporte

    • 17. K. De Bruyne

    • 47. P. Foden

    • 16. Rodri

    • 7. R. Sterling Goal

    • 26. R. Mahrez

      77'
    • 21. Ferran Torres

      65'

    Substitutes

    • 13. Z. Steffen

    • 5. J. Stones

    • 6. N. Aké

      72'
    • 25. Fernandinho

      77'
    • 80. C. Palmer

    • 20. Bernardo Silva

      65'
    • 48. L. Delap