Finished Everton Southampton - Match Preview

Dominic Calvert-Lewin and Allan fit for Everton start against Southampton

Everton duo Dominic Calvert-Lewin and Allan are fit to start against Southampton on Monday night.

The pair were substitutes for the Merseyside derby win at Anfield and although Calvert-Lewin came on, midfielder Allan has yet to make an appearance since returning from two months out with a hamstring problem.

Centre-back Yerry Mina faces another two weeks out with an ankle injury while long-term absentee Jean-Philippe Gbamin, who has not played since August 2019, is still working his way back to full fitness in training.

Southampton midfielder Oriol Romeu is set to miss the rest of the season because of a fractured ankle, which will need surgery.

On-loan Liverpool forward Takumi Minamino (hamstring) also suffered an injury in Tuesday night’s defeat at Leeds, so will miss the trip back to Merseyside.

Forward Theo Walcott, defender Kyle Walker-Peters and midfielder Ibrahima Diallo all continue their recovery from respective thigh problems, while Michael Obafemi and William Smallbone are long-term absentees.

Everton provisional squad: Pickford, Holgate, Keane, Godfrey, Digne, Allan, Doucoure, Gomes, Rodriguez, Calvert-Lewin, Richarlison, Olsen, Coleman, Nkounkou, Davies, Sigurdsson, Iwobi, King, Bernard.

Southampton provisional squad: McCarthy, Bertrand, Vestergaard, Salisu, Bednarek, Jankewitz, Ward-Prowse, Redmond, Armstrong, Adams, Ings, Forster, Stephens, Djenepo, Watts, Ramsay, Ferry, Chauke, Tella, N’Lundulu.

 

Best Bet

 

Prediction for Everton v Southampton
Southampton’s winless run now stands at a worrying eight matches. They should still be alright but it’s a bad auld run and a trip to Goodison looks likely to bring them the square root of f**k all in terms of a points return. The Toffees had no midweek commitments so should be well rested/prepped for this. Home banker, Clive.

Betting: Everton (-1) to win at 16/5 (Paddy Power)

 

Simulation

Southampton vs Everton

This is a very close match-up.
In 10,000 simulations Southampton won 33.1%, Everton won 36.2% and there was a 30.7% chance of a draw.
Overall, the average simulation score is Southampton 1.1 to Everton 1.2.
In simulation wins, Southampton averages 6.7 shots and 3.4 shots on goal.
They average 2.1 goals in simulated victories vs just 0.5 in simulation losses.
When Everton wins they average 7.8 shots and 3.8 shots on goal.
They average 2.1 goals in simulated victories vs just 0.5 in simulation losses.

 

     

     

     

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