Lineups

Burnley

( 4-4-2 )

  • 1. N. Pope

  • 28. K. Long

  • 3. C. Taylor

  • 26. P. Bardsley Yellow Card

  • 34. J. Dunne

  • 18. A. Westwood

  • 8. J. Brownhill

  • 16. D. Stephens

  • 9. C. Wood

  • 27. M. Vydra

  • 11. D. McNeil

Substitutes

  • 15. B. Peacock-Farrell

  • 2. M. Lowton

  • 23. E. Pieters

  • 37. B. Thomas

  • 45. A. Driscoll-Glennon

  • 0. M. Goodridge

  • 41. J. Benson

England - Premier League

48' P. Bardsley 48' Yellow Card 48'  P. Bardsley 5' D. Ings 5' Goal 5'   Ings D. Ings
Burnley

Burnley

0 - 1

Southampton

Southampton

  • 5'
    0 - 1
  • HT
    0 - 1
  • Date: 26/09/2020
  • Time: 20:00
  • Venue: Turf Moor
  • Referee: Andre Marriner
Premier League Betting Tips: Burnley v Southampton

Date published: 9/25/2020 1:12:41 PM

Premier League Betting Tips: Burnley v Southampton

The Premier League’s big Saturday night as Burnley face off against Southampton, with both sides in search of their first Premier League points of the new season.

Sean Dyche’s Clarets were their usual competitive selves against Leicester City last week and caused the Foxes some problems, but they were uncharacteristically sloppy in defence as they suffered a 4-2 defeat in their opening fixture - though they looked much more like their usual selves in a hard-fought but ultimately routine 2-0 win at in-form Championship side Millwall in their midweek Carabao Cup outing. 

 

Southampton have been tipped by many to do good things this season following their excellent top-six form post-Christmas last term, but they appear to have lost their momentum over the summer break. They were competent, at least, if a little flat in their opening weekend 1-0 defeat at Crystal Palace, and were the better side for most of the first half against Tottenham last week, deservedly enjoying a 1-0 lead as the match approached half-time.

 

But Saints paid the price for their suicidal high-line and were picked off time and again as Harry Kane set up four goals by Son Heung-Min, eventually winning 5-2. Ralph Hassenhuttl will surely have worked on that over the break. 

 

Burnley have tended to do well against Southampton in recent years, doing the double over them last term to stretch their run to six games unbeaten against them in the Premier League. Saints have failed to pick up three points in each of their last five visits to Turf Moor.

 

In spite of that record, Paddy Power price the hosts at lengthy odds of 21/10 to get a home victory here, with the visitors the favourites at 13/10. 

 

We recommend backing a narrow away victory here. Only runaway top two Liverpool and Man City picked up more points away from home than Southampton, and in spite of their poor results, can take some positivity from their performances so far. A 2-1 victory for Saints is priced at 8/1 with Betfair Sportsbook.

 

*All prices correct at the time of writing and subject to change

 

Best Bet

 

 

TV Channels

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  • 21:00 26/09/2020
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Match Information

  • Premier League
  • Round 3
  • Turf Moor
  • Andre Marriner
  • 26 Sep, 20:00

Betting Tips

Markets Odds Rating Bet Here

Result & Both Teams To Score - Southampton & Yes

4/1 Bookmaker

Bet Here

Correct Score - Southampton To Win 1-3

19.00 Bookmaker

Bet Here

 

                   

                   

                   

                   

     

                           

                           

                           

 

         

         

         

         

         

Lineups

Burnley
(4-4-2)
Southampton
(4-4-2)
  • 1. N. Pope

  • 28. K. Long

  • 3. C. Taylor

  • 26. P. Bardsley Yellow Card

  • 34. J. Dunne

  • 18. A. Westwood

  • 8. J. Brownhill

  • 16. D. Stephens

  • 9. C. Wood

  • 27. M. Vydra

  • 11. D. McNeil

Substitutes

  • 15. B. Peacock-Farrell

  • 2. M. Lowton

  • 23. E. Pieters

  • 37. B. Thomas

  • 45. A. Driscoll-Glennon

  • 0. M. Goodridge

  • 41. J. Benson

  • 1. A. McCarthy

  • 3. R. Bertrand

  • 2. K. Walker-Peters

  • 35. J. Bednarek

  • 4. J. Vestergaard

  • 8. J. Ward-Prowse

  • 6. Oriol Romeu

  • 12. M. Djenepo

    77'
  • 17. S. Armstrong

  • 10. C. Adams

    77'
  • 9. D. Ings Goal

Substitutes

  • 44. F. Forster

  • 5. J. Stephens

  • 18. Y. Valery

  • 20. W. Smallbone

  • 23. N. Tella

    77'
  • 7. S. Long

  • 14. M. Obafemi

    77'

 

       

         

         

         

         

         

Simulation

Southampton vs Burnley

This is a very close match-up.
In 10,000 simulations Southampton won 36.8%, Burnley won 33.3% and there was a 29.9% chance of a draw.
Overall, the average simulation score is Southampton 1.2 to Burnley 1.1.
In simulation wins, Southampton averages 9.4 shots and 4.2 shots on goal.
They average 2.1 goals in simulated victories vs just 0.4 in simulation losses.
When Burnley wins they average 10.0 shots and 3.9 shots on goal.
They average 2.0 goals in simulated victories vs just 0.5 in simulation losses.

Burnley v Southampton

    Audio

    • FT Report
    • FT
    • Update
    • Update
    • Update
    • Half Time
    • Update
    • Update
    • Goal
    • Lineup
    Burnley 0 - 1 Southampton - Match Report

    Date published: 9/26/2020 11:48:37 PM

    Danny Ings haunts Burnley to ruin Sean Dyche’s landmark night in management

    Sean Dyche’s 400th game in management saw former Burnley striker Danny Ings grab the only goal of the match.

    Sean Dyche’s 400th game in management ended in a 1-0 defeat to Southampton as Burnley suffered a second consecutive loss to open their Premier League campaign.

    Danny Ings scored against his former club just five minutes in and the Saints survived sustained pressure for their own first points of the campaign – and a first top-flight win at Turf Moor since 1971.

    There was second-half controversy as Chris Wood had a goal ruled out for offside, but with play whistled dead before he put the ball in the net, VAR could not review what looked a tight decision.

    Dyche has won more than he has lost in his decade in the dugout but Burnley, having finished last season so impressively, are facing familiar problems as takeover talk rumbles on around Turf Moor.

    That speculation has been the backdrop to another slow summer in the transfer market, leaving Burnley still short-handed as the season got under way.

    Dale Stephens arrived from Brighton as the first major signing of the window this week, and was handed an instant debut as much through necessity as anything else with seven first-team players out of action.

    Dale Stephens, right, made his Burnley debut
    Dale Stephens, right, made his Burnley debut (Alex Livesey/PA)

    Things might have got worse in the warm-up when Nick Pope appeared to suffer a bloodied hand, but the goalkeeper got his thumb bandaged up to start the match.

    Match Highlights

    Within five minutes he was picking the ball out of the net as Ings struck against his former club.

    The 28-year-old has accounted for 46 per cent Southampton’s goals since the start of last season and was in the right place once again, beating Jimmy Dunne to Che Adams’ cut-back after a neat ball from Kyle Walker-Peters picked out his run.

    One-nil to the good, the Saints dominated the early exchanges and might have had a second when Ryan Bertrand’s cross found Adams in space but the ball took an awkward bounce and he fired over.

    Southampton, strongly criticised for their high line in last weekend’s 5-2 loss to Tottenham, looked much more solid at the back but would be increasingly tested as Burnley grew into the game.

    The hosts’ first chance came more than 20 minutes in when Vydra let Charlie Taylor’s early ball run for Wood, getting it back to cross for Josh Brownhill whose shot was charged down.

    Former Burnley striker Danny Ings haunted his former side
    Former Burnley striker Danny Ings haunted his former side (Peter Powell/PA)

    The Czech forward then tried an overhead kick, missing the ball but springing to his feet to see a follow-up turned over.

    Burnley were appealing for a penalty in the 26th minute when Wood went down under pressure from Jan Bednarek, but a free-kick went the other way for handball after a VAR check and Southampton would finish the first half on top.

    Burnley threatened as soon as the second half began with Westwood’s long ball forward finding Wood but his header was held by McCarthy.

    Chris Wood, right, had a goal disallowed for the hosts
    Chris Wood, right, had a goal disallowed for the hosts (Jon Super/PA)

    The New Zealander had the ball in the net 10 minutes later but the assistant had already flagged for a marginal offside – much to the frustration of Dyche with the new protocols not clearly followed.

    Burnley continued to push, with Taylor forcing a fine save from McCarthy with a low drive after Southampton could only half clear from Phil Bardsley’s cross.

    Gradually belief faded from their fightback, however, and the match ended in another disallowed goal – this one for Ings who strayed offside before firing into the top corner of the net.

    Lineups

    Southampton

    ( 4-4-2 )

    • 1. A. McCarthy

    • 3. R. Bertrand

    • 2. K. Walker-Peters

    • 35. J. Bednarek

    • 4. J. Vestergaard

    • 8. J. Ward-Prowse

    • 6. Oriol Romeu

    • 12. M. Djenepo

      77'
    • 17. S. Armstrong

    • 10. C. Adams

      77'
    • 9. D. Ings Goal

    Substitutes

    • 44. F. Forster

    • 5. J. Stephens

    • 18. Y. Valery

    • 20. W. Smallbone

    • 23. N. Tella

      77'
    • 7. S. Long

    • 14. M. Obafemi

      77'