Burnley v Aston Villa -

There is a 25.0% chance of a draw.
In simulations where the game is not a draw Aston Villa, at 41.7%, are solid favorites to beat Burnley who have a 33.3% chance at home.
Overall, the average simulation score is Aston Villa 1.6 to Burnley 1.4.
In simulation wins, Burnley upsets Aston Villa by averaging 13.5 shots and 6.0 shots on goal.
They average 2.4 goals in simulated victories vs just 0.7 in simulation losses.