Punters betting on Aston Villa v Arsenal should be aware of the mental shift which will occur just prior to kick-off.
Villa, deep in relegation trouble, will surely know the result of drop rivals Watford’s clash with Manchester City before they walk out.
A win for Watford would leave Villa hanging by a thread, needing to win both of their remaining games. Even that might not be enough.
However, a City victory – considered much more likely – would give Villa a nice tonic ahead of kick-off. If would mean they could even climb into a position of safety with three points.
Either way, Villa will be desperate for victory but it will be easier said than done, especially if Watford have triumphed.
Arsenal have beaten Liverpool and City, the Premier League’s top two, in their last two games.
They now have an FA Cup final to look forward to in less than two weeks’ time but they can’t afford to ease up in the league yet with European qualification still to chase. They have to win here to keep that route open via their league position.
Mikel Arteta will likely make a few changes but it’s hard to see wholesale ones given their situation and so the Gunners should be primed to continue their good run.
Villa have really struggled against the better sides in the league, even at home. Against Arsenal’s fellow top-half members, they’ve won one (away to Burnley), drawn three and lost 15.
Backing a motivated, in-form Arsenal here therefore makes perfect sense at odds-against.
*All prices correct at the time of writing and subject to change