Colchester will be looking to capitalise on their first leg lead and secure their spot in the League Two play-off final when they travel to Exeter this Monday evening.
A late goal in the opening encounter of this play-off semi-final has moved Colchester a step closer to Wembley. Nevertheless, we’re only at the half way mark and Exeter will have home advantage in this second leg.
Incredibly, the Grecians are unbeaten at St James’ Park in 18 straight competitive fixtures. In fact, their only home defeat this season came back in October when they lost 3-1 to Grimsby.
With regards to this particular fixture, in their last seven head to head games Exeter have managed four wins and three draws. Colchester have not managed to win any of those games away at St. James’ Park.
However, let’s not forget that Colchester don’t have to win this game in order to progress. Their one goal lead from the first leg means that they have a lifeline in this second contest.
Looking at the betting, it’s no surprise to see Exeter as the favourites. Their home record speaks for itself and it does seem that Colchester will have a tough job on their hands despite coming into this game with a lead.
Our recommendation is to back the hosts to progress at the price of 7/4. Our second bet is to back the correct score of 2-0 at 9/1. Two of Exeter’s last three wins over Colchester have seen the Grecians score two or more goals. All three, meanwhile, have been to nil.
*All prices correct at time of writing and are subject to change