Brentford are looking to overcome a one-goal deficit in the second leg of their Championship play-off semi-final against Swansea in the last-ever match at Griffin Park.
Andre Ayew’s superb strike was the difference between these two sides at the Liberty Stadium at the weekend, with Swansea’s momentum telling out, coming into the clash off the back of a remarkable last-ditch push into the top six, leapfrogging Nottingham Forest with a remarkable five-goal swing of goal difference after a sensational 4-1 win at Reading.
Brentford, meanwhile, won seven in a row (six post-lockdown) to keep the pressure on Leeds and Brentford in the top two - but when they finally had an opportunity to break into the top two positions, they choked. A win in either of their final two matches would have seen them promoted automatically but they instead contrived to lose 1-0 to Stoke and 2-1 to relegation-battlers Barnsley.
Ollie Watkins is still fighting to finish with the Championship’s golden boot in what’s turned out to be an extended race with Fulham’s Aleksandar Mitrovic. He’s one behind the Serbian international with 25 goals scored in the regular campaign, including two in his last five. You can back him to score at 1/1 anytime here.
But his team-mate Said Benrahma has more Championship goals than any other player post-lockdown with seven in his last ten appearances. He’s 7/4 to score anytime here, while Swansea forward Ayew is 3/1 to repeat his first-leg trick and get on the scoresheet once again here - he’s already up to a career-best 16 goals.
We recommend backing Brentford for the win here, given their form up until recently and their strength at both ends of the pitch.
They’re just 3/5 for a win in 90 minutes and 19/20 to qualify on the night. We recommend a tight low-scoring encounter here; 1-0 to the hosts is priced at 6/1, which is worth considering given Brentford’s ability to keep clean sheets.
*All prices correct at the time of writing and subject to change