Friday’s early-evening dose of Championship football on Sky Sports is a crucial clash in the battle against relegation.
Huddersfield enter the game two points above the drop zone, while Luton are five points from safety. Their positions don’t tell the form story though – both have been in decent nick as they scrap for survival.
The hosts have picked up five points from their last three games, keeping a clean sheet in every one.
As for Luton, they’ve lost just one of their last eight. The Hatters have the worst away record in the league but returning manager Nathan Jones has led them to a draw at leaders Leeds and a win at Swansea since the season resumed.
Such results suggest they represent the value in a market which has Huddersfield a shade of odds-on and Luton at 16/5 for the win.
The theory solidifies when you consider the number of injury problems the hosts have had recently – boss Danny Cowley has admitted having to juggle a number of half-fit players given the two-games-a-week schedule of late.
Fraizer Campbell missed out in the week due to injury, while fellow striker Steve Mounie is playing despite not being fully fit.
Luton may have to do without former Huddersfield man Izzy Brown but it’s still not hard to make a case for them at a decent price given their recent form.
Backing the Hatters at 2/1 with the safety net of the draw-no-bet proviso is arguably the best way to go.
*All prices correct at the time of writing and subject to change