Aston Villa v Liverpool - Football Live Match Preview

Aston Villa vs Liverpool

Aston Villa vs Liverpool
After a league defeat to Manchester City, what a club desires most is a nice easy home game to get back into the groove. Aston Villa will get the complete opposite when they welcome the league leaders to Villa Park.

PaddyPower Pre-Match Odds: Aston Villa 15/2, Draw 4/1, Liverpool 1/3*

 

NEW PADDY POWER CUSTOMERS GET A £10 RISK FREE FIRST BET - MONEY BACK IN CASH IF IT LOSES!**

 

A 3-0 defeat to Manchester City away at the Etihad was perhaps the most expected outcome last weekend. The defending champions simply proved too strong for the Villains who were looking for their third straight league win.

 

Instead, Dean Smith’s side will be looking to avoid back to back defeats when they host league leaders Liverpool.

 

The Reds have been firing on all cylinders since the Premier League returned and they’re currently the last remaining unbeaten side in the division.

 

Nine wins from ten, 23 goals scored and eight conceded! That is a record that Smith’s men will be hoping to unlock come Saturday.

 

How do the bookies feel about this? Well, as you’d expect, Liverpool have been made the 1/3 favourites; that’s despite being the away team in this contest.

 

Aston Villa may be well priced at 15/2 however, given Liverpool’s record this may not be a very intelligent bet.

 

Our recommendation is built around one particular stat – Liverpool haven’t conceded a goal at Villa Park in their last three Premier League visits. With that in mind, the recommended bet is to go for a Liverpool win to nil at a decent 7/5 offer.

 

Recommendation

Liverpool to win to nil – 7/5 888Sport*

 

*prices correct at time of writing and are subject to change

 

**New customers only, limited to one per person. If you've previously had a Paddy Power account, you will not qualify for the offer. Place your FIRST bet on any Sportsbook market and it loses they will refund your stake in CASH. Max. refund for this offer is £10. T&Cs apply.

Predictions

Markets Odds Probability %
Over 0.5 In 1st Half 1/4
80%
Sum of Goal Between 2 & 3 5/4
70%
Both Teams To Score 3/4
60%
Goals In Last 15 Minutes  
60%
Last Goal After 73 Minutes 5/6
60%
Over 2.5 In Full Time 8/15
60%

Betting Tips

Markets Odds Rating
Betting Tips Not available.

Betting Tips

Betting Tips Not available.

Simulation

Liverpool vs Aston Villa

There is a 22.5% chance of a draw.
In simulations where the game is not a draw Liverpool, at 61.3%, are heavy favorites to beat Aston Villa who have just a 16.2% chance to win at home.
Overall, the average simulation score is Liverpool 2.0 to Aston Villa 0.9.
In simulation wins, Aston Villa upsets Liverpool by averaging 8.6 shots and 4.1 shots on goal.
They average 2.1 goals in simulated victories vs just 0.6 in simulation losses.

Liverpool

Players Shots SG Goals G%
S. Mané 1.91 0.93 0.59 44.62%
Mohamed Salah 3.02 1.37 0.55 41.28%
Roberto Firmino 2.19 0.90 0.32 27.32%
G. Wijnaldum 0.87 0.37 0.11 10.92%
V. van Dijk 0.68 0.19 0.10 9.76%

League Table

Place Team GP Won Draw Lost GF GA +/- Points
1 Liverpool 22 21 1 0 52 14 38 64
2 Manchester City 24 16 3 5 65 27 38 51
3 Leicester City 24 15 3 6 52 24 28 48
4 Chelsea 24 12 4 8 41 32 9 40
5 Manchester United 24 9 7 8 36 29 7 34
6 Tottenham 24 9 7 8 38 32 6 34
7 Wolverhampton Wanderers 23 8 10 5 34 30 4 34
8 Sheffield United 24 8 9 7 25 23 2 33
9 Southampton 24 9 4 11 31 42 -11 31
10 Arsenal 24 6 12 6 32 34 -2 30
11 Crystal Palace 24 7 9 8 22 28 -6 30
12 Everton 24 8 6 10 28 35 -7 30
13 Burnley 24 9 3 12 28 38 -10 30
14 Newcastle United 24 8 6 10 24 36 -12 30
15 Brighton and Hove Albion 24 6 7 11 27 34 -7 25
16 Aston Villa 24 7 4 13 31 45 -14 25
17 West Ham United 23 6 5 12 27 38 -11 23
18 AFC Bournemouth 24 6 5 13 23 37 -14 23
19 Watford 24 5 8 11 21 36 -15 23
20 Norwich City 24 4 5 15 24 47 -23 17

Head To Head Comparison

17.12.2019
Aston Villa
Liverpool
02.11.2019
Aston Villa
Liverpool
14.02.2016
Aston Villa
Liverpool
26.09.2015
Liverpool
Aston Villa
19.04.2015
Aston Villa
Liverpool
17.01.2015
Aston Villa
Liverpool

Last 5 Games

21.01.2020
Aston Villa
Watford
18.01.2020
Brighton and Hove Albion
Aston Villa
12.01.2020
Aston Villa
Manchester City
08.01.2020
Leicester City
Aston Villa
04.01.2020
Fulham
Aston Villa

Last 5 Games

19.01.2020
Liverpool
Manchester United
11.01.2020
Tottenham
Liverpool
05.01.2020
Liverpool
Everton
02.01.2020
Liverpool
Sheffield United
29.12.2019
Liverpool
Wolverhampton Wanderers