Leeds United v Derby County - Football Live Match Preview

Leeds United v Derby County

Leeds United v Derby County
For the final time this season Leeds United reignite their rivalry with Derby County as both teams fight for a ticket to Wembley.

PaddyPower Pre-Match Odds: Leeds United 4/6, Draw 11/4, Derby County 7/2*

 

NEW PADDY POWER CUSTOMERS GET A £10 RISK FREE FIRST BET - MONEY BACK IN CASH IF IT LOSES!**

 

One Kemar Roofe goal is what currently separates both teams at the half way stage of this play-off semi-final. 

 

The defeat was a bitter pill to swallow for Derby as not only does it mean that they are behind in the race for the Premier League but it is also a continuation of a long losing run against Leeds this season. 

 

On aggregate, the Whites have beaten Derby 7-1 this season with 90 minutes still ahead of us.

 

Nevertheless, Frank Lampard’s side will be intent on changing their fortunes at Elland Road. Derby may be struggling against Leeds but overall, they are in much better form than their opponents. 

 

Bearing that in mind, it is surprising to see the Rams priced at 4/1. This is the same side that not too long ago picked up a 3-1 win over fellow play-off contenders West Brom to secure a place in the top six. 

 

The price is simply too big to ignore meaning the recommendation is to back a Derby County victory. 

 

There are other high value bets on the market. For instance, Derby to win and both teams to score is currently priced at 7/1. Another interesting one is the under 2.5 goals bet which is around even money. 

 

Recommendation

Derby County to win – 4/1 bet365*

 

*prices correct at time of writing and are subject to change

 

**New customers only, limited to one per person. If you've previously had a Paddy Power account, you will not qualify for the offer. Place your FIRST bet on any Sportsbook market and it loses they will refund your stake in CASH. Max. refund for this offer is £10. T&Cs apply.

Predictions
Markets Odds Probability %
Predictions Not available.

Simulation

Leeds United vs Derby County

There is a 29.0% chance of a draw.

In simulations where the game is not a draw Leeds United, at 47.3%, are heavy favorites to beat Derby County who have a 23.7% chance.

In simulation wins, Derby County upsets Leeds United by averaging 7.9 shots and 3.1 shots on goal.

They average 2.0 goals in simulated victories vs just 0.5 in simulation losses.

Overall, the average simulation score is Leeds United 1.4 to Derby County 0.9.

Place Team GP Won Draw Lost GF GA +/- Points

League table not available.

Head To Head Comparison

15.05.2019
Leeds United
Derby County
11.05.2019
Derby County
Leeds United
11.01.2019
Leeds United
Derby County
11.08.2018
Derby County
Leeds United
21.02.2018
Derby County
Leeds United
31.10.2017
Leeds United
Derby County
13.01.2017
Leeds United
Derby County
15.10.2016
Derby County
Leeds United
29.12.2015
Leeds United
Derby County
29.08.2015
Derby County
Leeds United
30.12.2014
Derby County
Leeds United
29.11.2014
Leeds United
Derby County
03.05.2014
Leeds United
Derby County

Last 5 Games

11.07.2019
Guiseley AFC
Leeds United
10.07.2019
York City
Leeds United
15.05.2019
Leeds United
Derby County
11.05.2019
Derby County
Leeds United
05.05.2019
Ipswich Town
Leeds United

Last 5 Games

14.07.2019
Derby County
Bristol City
27.05.2019
Aston Villa
Derby County
15.05.2019
Leeds United
Derby County
11.05.2019
Derby County
Leeds United
05.05.2019
Derby County
West Bromwich Albion