One Kemar Roofe goal is what currently separates both teams at the half way stage of this play-off semi-final.
The defeat was a bitter pill to swallow for Derby as not only does it mean that they are behind in the race for the Premier League but it is also a continuation of a long losing run against Leeds this season.
On aggregate, the Whites have beaten Derby 7-1 this season with 90 minutes still ahead of us.
Nevertheless, Frank Lampard’s side will be intent on changing their fortunes at Elland Road. Derby may be struggling against Leeds but overall, they are in much better form than their opponents.
Bearing that in mind, it is surprising to see the Rams priced at 4/1. This is the same side that not too long ago picked up a 3-1 win over fellow play-off contenders West Brom to secure a place in the top six.
The price is simply too big to ignore meaning the recommendation is to back a Derby County victory.
There are other high value bets on the market. For instance, Derby to win and both teams to score is currently priced at 7/1. Another interesting one is the under 2.5 goals bet which is around even money.
Derby County to win – 4/1 bet365*
*prices correct at time of writing and are subject to change
**New customers only, limited to one per person. If you've previously had a Paddy Power account, you will not qualify for the offer. Place your FIRST bet on any Sportsbook market and it loses they will refund your stake in CASH. Max. refund for this offer is £10. T&Cs apply.