Aston Villa v West Bromwich Albion - Football Live Match Preview

Aston Villa v West Brom

The regular season might be over in the Championship however, the fight for the last remaining Premier League spot goes on.

PaddyPower Pre-Match Odds: Aston Villa 10/11, Draw 23/10, West Brom 3/1*

NEW PADDY POWER CUSTOMERS GET A £10 RISK FREE FIRST BET - MONEY BACK IN CASH IF IT LOSES!**

Following some strong results over the past few months, both Aston Villa and West Brom have been able to secure places in the Championship play-offs. 

The two Birmingham enemies now meet in the first semi-final as both look for a return into the top flight. 

With the exception of their last two games, Aston Villa have been in sensational form. Before their 1-1 draw with Leeds United, the Villains were on a run of ten straight victories. 

Steve Bruce will be hoping his side can replicate such form in the play-offs as they look to return to the top flight after a three year absence.

West Brom, on the other hand, will be looking to return to the Premier League at the first time of asking following their relegation last season. 

The Baggies are also in decent form having won six of their last ten league games. However, in their last outing, James Shan’s men did suffer a 3-1 loss to Derby County – a loss that cost West Brom a third place finish. 

Looking at the betting, it’s clear that the bookmakers have taken West Brom’s away struggles under consideration having priced the visitors at 3/1. 

The Albion boast a superior head to head record however, their form on the road is concerning. With that in mind, the recommendation is to back the hosts to win by a margin of one goal. 

Recommendation
Aston Villa to win by a margin of one goal – 11/4 bet365*

*prices correct at time of writing and are subject to change

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Predictions
Markets Odds Probability %
Predictions Not available.

Simulation

West Bromwich Albion vs Aston Villa

There is a 28.6% chance of a draw.
In simulations where the game is not a draw Aston Villa, at 41.9%, are solid favorites to beat West Bromwich Albion who have a 29.5% chance.

In simulation wins, West Bromwich Albion upsets Aston Villa by averaging 8.7 shots and 3.4 shots on goal.

They average 2.2 goals in simulated victories vs just 0.6 in simulation losses.

Overall, the average simulation score is Aston Villa 1.4 to West Bromwich Albion 1.2.

Place Team GP Won Draw Lost GF GA +/- Points

League table not available.

Head To Head Comparison

14.05.2019
West Bromwich Albion
Aston Villa
11.05.2019
Aston Villa
West Bromwich Albion
16.02.2019
Aston Villa
West Bromwich Albion
07.12.2018
West Bromwich Albion
Aston Villa
23.01.2016
West Bromwich Albion
Aston Villa
19.09.2015
Aston Villa
West Bromwich Albion
07.03.2015
Aston Villa
West Bromwich Albion
03.03.2015
Aston Villa
West Bromwich Albion
13.12.2014
West Bromwich Albion
Aston Villa

Last 5 Games

17.08.2019
Aston Villa
AFC Bournemouth
10.08.2019
Tottenham
Aston Villa
03.08.2019
RB Leipzig
Aston Villa
27.07.2019
Charlton Athletic
Aston Villa
24.07.2019
Walsall
Aston Villa

Last 5 Games

17.08.2019
Luton Town
West Bromwich Albion
13.08.2019
West Bromwich Albion
Millwall
10.08.2019
West Bromwich Albion
Millwall
03.08.2019
Nottingham Forest
West Bromwich Albion
26.07.2019
West Bromwich Albion
AFC Bournemouth