Tottenham v Everton - Football Live Match Preview

Tottenham v Everton

Tottenham will need to refocus as they end their Premier League season at home against Everton following a miraculous week for the club.

PaddyPower Pre-Match Odds: Tottenham 1/1, Draw 5/2, Everton 13/5*

 

NEW PADDY POWER CUSTOMERS GET A £10 RISK FREE FIRST BET - MONEY BACK IN CASH IF IT LOSES!**

 

Despite being well against the odds, Mauricio Pochettino’s men came from a 3-0 aggregate loss position in the second half of the second leg to overcome Ajax at the Johan Cruyff Arena on Wednesday evening.

 

Lucas Moura was the hat-trick hero on the night as he helped seal a place in the Champions League final in the last minute to break Ajax hearts and set up what could be an absolute classic against Liverpool.

 

Pochettino’s stock has risen even higher after this week, with much being said about his ability to take Tottenham to the Champions League final with no new signings in two windows – Moura was ironically Spurs’ last signing in January 2018.

 

If anything, Spurs' European adventure has masked a poor end to the Premier League campaign, with Tottenham losing seven of their past 11 games, although their top-four place is arguably a mere formality, being three points ahead of Arsenal with a far superior goal difference.

 

Pochettino would probably want to rest players given the circumstances, but his squad is so depleted, he may have to play his big hitters.

 

Jan Vertonghen is out with an ankle knock, while Son Heung-Min and Juan Foyth start the first of three-game domestic bans.

 

Danny Rose and Victor Wanyama will be assessed, while Harry Kane and Harry Winks remain out.

 

Everton have improved steadily over the season Under Marco Silva, having looked disjointed under the Portuguese initially.

 

They will try and consolidate eighth place with a win, having lost only one of their last seven Premier League games.

 

They are poor travellers to Tottenham though, having not won away at the old White Hart Lane or Wembley since November 2008.

 

Dominic Calvert-Lewin, Richarlison and Seamus Coleman are out of the game but Andre Gomes can return after a three-match ban.

 

BETTING ANALYSIS

 

Tottenham will be looking for a possible third place finish when they take on Everton this Sunday afternoon. 

 

While things may most definitely be going their way in the Champions League, they’re certainly not in the Premier League. 

 

A few months ago, Spurs seemed to have third place in the bag however, a number of defeats later they find themselves in fourth – a total of 25 points behind the league leaders. 

 

Everton, on the other hand, will be looking to secure their 8thplace finish after what has been a largely successful campaign. 

 

Looking at the head to head record, one thing is clear about this particular fixture – expect plenty of goals. In their last four encounters there have been 20 goals. 

 

Unfortunately for Everton, most of these goals have ended up in their own net. They will be hoping to end a run of four straight defeats against Spurs when they travel to their opponents’ new stadium. 

 

The recommendation is to back the visitors in this game. Tottenham clearly have their eyes set on the Champions League final and this may give Everton an opportunity to grab a point, if not three. 

 

Recommendation

Everton to win by a margin of one goal – 9/2 bet365*

 

*prices correct at time of writing and are subject to change

 

**New customers only, limited to one per person. If you've previously had a Paddy Power account, you will not qualify for the offer. Place your FIRST bet on any Sportsbook market and it loses they will refund your stake in CASH. Max. refund for this offer is £10. T&Cs apply.

 

Predictions
Markets Odds Probability %
Last Goal After 73 Minutes 2.00
61%
Over 0.5 In 1st Half 1.37
61%
Goals In Last 15 Minutes  
58%
Both Teams Not To Score 2.25
56%

Simulation

Everton vs Tottenham Hotspur

There is a 26.0% chance of a draw.
In simulations where the game is not a draw Tottenham Hotspur, at 57.4%, are heavy favorites to beat Everton who have a 16.6% chance.
In simulation wins, Everton upsets Tottenham Hotspur by averaging 10.3 shots and 4.1 shots on goal.
They average 1.9 goals in simulated victories vs just 0.4 in simulation losses.
Overall, the average simulation score is Tottenham Hotspur 1.7 to Everton 0.8.

Tottenham

Players Shots SG Goals G%
Lucas Moura 1.72 0.72 0.47 37.16%
E. Lamela 1.47 0.68 0.33 28.70%
D. Alli 1.94 0.68 0.24 21.80%
T. Alderweireld 0.77 0.31 0.08 7.56%

Everton

Players Shots SG Goals G%
G. Sigurðsson 2.13 0.72 0.28 24.56%
T. Walcott 1.33 0.65 0.14 13.20%
L. Digne 1.00 0.30 0.07 6.26%
M. Keane 1.06 0.22 0.05 4.96%
Place Team GP Won Draw Lost GF GA +/- Points
1 Manchester City 38 32 2 4 95 23 72 98
2 Liverpool 38 30 7 1 89 22 67 97
3 Chelsea 38 21 9 8 63 39 24 72
4 Tottenham 38 23 2 13 67 39 28 71
5 Arsenal 38 21 7 10 73 51 22 70
6 Manchester United 38 19 9 10 65 54 11 66
7 Wolverhampton Wanderers 38 16 9 13 47 46 1 57
8 Everton 38 15 9 14 54 46 8 54
9 Leicester City 38 15 7 16 51 48 3 52
10 West Ham United 38 15 7 16 52 55 -3 52
11 Watford 38 14 8 16 52 59 -7 50
12 Crystal Palace 38 14 7 17 51 53 -2 49
13 Newcastle United 38 12 9 17 42 48 -6 45
14 AFC Bournemouth 38 13 6 19 56 70 -14 45
15 Burnley 38 11 7 20 45 68 -23 40
16 Southampton 38 9 12 17 45 65 -20 39
17 Brighton and Hove Albion 38 9 9 20 35 60 -25 36
18 Cardiff City 38 10 4 24 34 69 -35 34
19 Fulham 38 7 5 26 34 81 -47 26
20 Huddersfield Town 38 3 7 28 22 76 -54 16

Head To Head Comparison

12.05.2019
Tottenham
Everton
23.12.2018
Everton
Tottenham
13.01.2018
Tottenham
Everton
09.09.2017
Everton
Tottenham
05.03.2017
Tottenham
Everton
13.08.2016
Everton
Tottenham
03.01.2016
Everton
Tottenham
29.08.2015
Tottenham
Everton
24.05.2015
Everton
Tottenham
30.11.2014
Tottenham
Everton

Last 5 Games

17.08.2019
Manchester City
Tottenham
10.08.2019
Tottenham
Aston Villa
04.08.2019
Tottenham
Inter Milan
31.07.2019
Tottenham
Bayern Munchen
30.07.2019
Real Madrid
Tottenham

Last 5 Games

17.08.2019
Everton
Watford
10.08.2019
Crystal Palace
Everton
03.08.2019
Werder Bremen
Everton
27.07.2019
Everton
Mainz 05
27.07.2019
Everton
Sevilla