Leicester City v Chelsea - Football Live Match Preview

Leicester v Chelsea

Leicester City will attempt to complete the league double over Chelsea for the first time since the 2000-01 campaign on Sunday.

PaddyPower Pre-Match Odds: Leicester 11/8, Draw 5/2, Chelsea 9/5*

 

NEW PADDY POWER CUSTOMERS GET A £10 RISK FREE FIRST BET - MONEY BACK IN CASH IF IT LOSES!**

 

The Foxes won 1-0 at Stamford Bridge earlier this season and will fancy their chances of taking another three points, although it won't move them into contention for European football next season. 

 

Chelsea have locked up their top-four position and might be weary from their penalty shoot-out win over Eintracht Frankfurt in the Europa League semi-final on Thursday night.

 

Maurizio Sarri's side will be missing some key players too, including injured midfielder N'Golo Kante and Antonio Rudiger - while fellow centre-back Andreas Christensen is a doubt after hobbling out of the match at Stamford Bridge on Thursday.

 

There is some good news, however, with Ruben Loftus-Cheek likely to be available, despite coming off late on against Eintracht due to cramp.

 

Leicester boss Brendan Rodgers has no new injury issues ahead of the final Premier League match of the season.

 

Having recently penned a new deal, Christian Fuchs could be recalled after being an unused substitute against Manchester City on Monday.

 

Wes Morgan, Harvey Barnes, Kelechi Iheanacho and Demarai Gray are also pushing for starts but Matty James and Daniel Amartey remain absent with their respective Achilles and ankle problems.

 

Soon-to-depart title-winning duo Danny Simpson and Shinji Okazaki will hope for farewell appearances at the King Power Stadium on Sunday.

 

BETTING ANALYSIS

 

Chelsea will be looking to confirm their third-place finish when they take on Leicester City in their final game of the season. 

 

With Tottenham fully focused on the Champions League, Chelsea were able to pounce and move above them in the Premier League table. 

 

The Blues will now want to maintain their place above Spurs however, it does mean having to beat a dangerous Leicester outfit. 

 

Maurizio Sarri’s men come into this game with good form under their belt. The London side won seven of their last 11 games in all competitions. During that time, they only suffered one defeat which came away at Anfield against title challengers Liverpool. 

 

Leicester, on the other hand, will be looking to end the season with a win. In their last outing, Brendan Rodgers’ men suffered a 1-0 defeat to Manchester City following a spectacular finish from Vincent Kompany. 

 

The last London side to visit the King Power Stadium was Arsenal. The Gunners won’t have many fond memories after suffering an embarrassing 3-0 loss. Could this be Chelsea’s fate? 

 

The recommendation is to back the hosts. The price is simply too good to pass and what’s more, with Leicester in form and Jamie Vardy scoring goals for fun, a win for the Foxes is most certainly on the cards.  

 

Recommendation

Leicester to win and Jamie Vardy to score – 9/4 PaddyPower*

 

*prices correct at time of writing and are subject to change

 

**New customers only, limited to one per person. If you've previously had a Paddy Power account, you will not qualify for the offer. Place your FIRST bet on any Sportsbook market and it loses they will refund your stake in CASH. Max. refund for this offer is £10. T&Cs apply.

Predictions
Markets Odds Probability %
Over 0.5 In 1st Half 1.34
69%
Sum of Goal Between 2 & 3 2.05
64%
Over 2.5 In Full Time 1.76
58%

Simulation

Chelsea vs Leicester City

There is a 23.7% chance of a draw.
In simulations where the game is not a draw Leicester City, at 50.6%, are heavy favorites to beat Chelsea who have a 25.7% chance.
In simulation wins, Chelsea upsets Leicester City by averaging 10.6 shots and 4.2 shots on goal.
They average 2.5 goals in simulated victories vs just 0.8 in simulation losses.
Overall, the average simulation score is Leicester City 2.0 to Chelsea 1.4.

Leicester City

Players Shots SG Goals G%
J. Vardy 2.09 1.12 0.65 48.30%
Ricardo Pereira 0.70 0.35 0.12 10.84%
W. Ndidi 1.55 0.29 0.10 9.30%

Chelsea

Players Shots SG Goals G%
Willian 1.25 0.50 0.14 13.36%
Marcos Alonso 1.15 0.30 0.11 10.12%
Place Team GP Won Draw Lost GF GA +/- Points
1 Manchester City 38 32 2 4 95 23 72 98
2 Liverpool 38 30 7 1 89 22 67 97
3 Chelsea 38 21 9 8 63 39 24 72
4 Tottenham 38 23 2 13 67 39 28 71
5 Arsenal 38 21 7 10 73 51 22 70
6 Manchester United 38 19 9 10 65 54 11 66
7 Wolverhampton Wanderers 38 16 9 13 47 46 1 57
8 Everton 38 15 9 14 54 46 8 54
9 Leicester City 38 15 7 16 51 48 3 52
10 West Ham United 38 15 7 16 52 55 -3 52
11 Watford 38 14 8 16 52 59 -7 50
12 Crystal Palace 38 14 7 17 51 53 -2 49
13 Newcastle United 38 12 9 17 42 48 -6 45
14 AFC Bournemouth 38 13 6 19 56 70 -14 45
15 Burnley 38 11 7 20 45 68 -23 40
16 Southampton 38 9 12 17 45 65 -20 39
17 Brighton and Hove Albion 38 9 9 20 35 60 -25 36
18 Cardiff City 38 10 4 24 34 69 -35 34
19 Fulham 38 7 5 26 34 81 -47 26
20 Huddersfield Town 38 3 7 28 22 76 -54 16

Head To Head Comparison

18.08.2019
Chelsea
Leicester City
12.05.2019
Leicester City
Chelsea
22.12.2018
Chelsea
Leicester City
18.03.2018
Leicester City
Chelsea
13.01.2018
Chelsea
Leicester City
09.09.2017
Leicester City
Chelsea
14.01.2017
Leicester City
Chelsea
15.10.2016
Chelsea
Leicester City
20.09.2016
Leicester City
Chelsea
15.05.2016
Chelsea
Leicester City
14.12.2015
Leicester City
Chelsea
29.04.2015
Leicester City
Chelsea
23.08.2014
Chelsea
Leicester City

Last 5 Games

21.09.2019
Leicester City
Tottenham
14.09.2019
Manchester United
Leicester City
31.08.2019
Leicester City
AFC Bournemouth
28.08.2019
Newcastle United
Leicester City
24.08.2019
Sheffield United
Leicester City

Last 5 Games

17.09.2019
Chelsea
Valencia
14.09.2019
Wolverhampton Wanderers
Chelsea
31.08.2019
Chelsea
Sheffield United
24.08.2019
Norwich City
Chelsea
18.08.2019
Chelsea
Leicester City