Brighton and Hove Albion v Newcastle United - Football Live Match Preview

Brighton & Hove Albion v Newcastle United

Brighton will be looking to win their first Premier League match since March when they take on Newcastle United on Saturday evening.

The Seagulls have dragged themselves into a relegation battle in recent weeks, with Chris Hughton's men now just three points above the drop zone.

Cardiff continue to fight with Brighton for a place in the Premier League next season and Hughton's men may need a slice of luck this weekend.

They battled hard in midweek against Tottenham, before Christian Eriksen's strike saw them leave London with nothing.

Brighton have now gone six league games without finding the net and the fixture with Newcastle gives them a chance to pick up points, especially with Arsenal and Manchester City still to come.

Hughton will have Anthony Knockaert available for Saturday's clash after he completed his three-match suspension against Bournemouth on April 13.

Netherlands midfielder Davy Propper remains sidelined with a hamstring problem while Rafa Benitez will also have injury worries of his own.

Newcastle midfielder Miguel Almiron (hamstring) will miss Saturday's trip to Brighton, as will skipper Jamaal Lascelles after being laid low by illness this week.

The Magpies confirmed their top-flight status last week after last week's win over Southampton.

The Seagulls are looking to complete the league double over Newcastle for the first time since the 1978-79 second tier campaign.

Betting Tips

PaddyPower Pre-Match Odds: Brighton 13/10, Draw 2/1, Newcastle 23/10

Newcastle United will be aiming to win a third straight game when they take on relegation threatened Brighton this Saturday night.

Victories over Leicester and Southampton have pushed the Magpies into 13th place and more importantly, secured the clubs Premier League status for next season.

For Brighton, the job of securing top tier football is far from over. The Seagulls are only three points clear of Cardiff City with the same number of games to go.

A win for Chris Houghton’s side is critical if they are to survive. The bookmakers certainly have their back in this game making Brighton the 13/10 favourites to win.

When the bookmakers were signing off the prices they perhaps forgot to take a look at the form table. Brighton are without a win in seven games which includes one draw and six defeats.

Newcastle, on the other hand, have only suffered three defeats in their last ten Premier League fixtures.

The one thing in Brighton’s favour is the head to head record against Newcastle. The south coast side are unbeaten in their last three encounters – two of which they have won.

Despite that, the recommendation is to back the away side at an attractive price of 23/10. For those looking for more value, Newcastle to win by a margin of one goal is currently priced at 4/1.

Recommendation
Newcastle to win – 23/10 PaddyPower

Predictions
Markets Odds Probability %
Under 2.5 In Full Time 2.90
62%
Over 0.5 In 1st Half 1.54
59%

Simulation

Newcastle United vs Brighton & Hove Albion

There is a 34.8% chance of a draw.
In simulations where the game is not a draw Brighton & Hove Albion, at 44.9%, are heavy favorites to beat Newcastle United who have a 20.3% chance.
In simulation wins, Newcastle United upsets Brighton & Hove Albion by averaging 8.5 shots and 3.7 shots on goal.
They average 1.5 goals in simulated victories vs just 0.2 in simulation losses.
Overall, the average simulation score is Brighton & Hove Albion 1.0 to Newcastle United 0.6.

Brighton and Hove Albion

Players Shots SG Goals G%
S. Duffy 0.72 0.28 0.12 11.48%
L. Dunk 0.55 0.18 0.10 9.32%

Newcastle United

Players Shots SG Goals G%
S. Rondón 1.83 0.68 0.16 14.62%
M. Ritchie 0.99 0.24 0.04 4.20%
F. Schär 0.55 0.15 0.03 2.62%
Place Team GP Won Draw Lost GF GA +/- Points
1 Manchester City 38 32 2 4 95 23 72 98
2 Liverpool 38 30 7 1 89 22 67 97
3 Chelsea 38 21 9 8 63 39 24 72
4 Tottenham 38 23 2 13 67 39 28 71
5 Arsenal 38 21 7 10 73 51 22 70
6 Manchester United 38 19 9 10 65 54 11 66
7 Wolverhampton Wanderers 38 16 9 13 47 46 1 57
8 Everton 38 15 9 14 54 46 8 54
9 Leicester City 38 15 7 16 51 48 3 52
10 West Ham United 38 15 7 16 52 55 -3 52
11 Watford 38 14 8 16 52 59 -7 50
12 Crystal Palace 38 14 7 17 51 53 -2 49
13 Newcastle United 38 12 9 17 42 48 -6 45
14 AFC Bournemouth 38 13 6 19 56 70 -14 45
15 Burnley 38 11 7 20 45 68 -23 40
16 Southampton 38 9 12 17 45 65 -20 39
17 Brighton and Hove Albion 38 9 9 20 35 60 -25 36
18 Cardiff City 38 10 4 24 34 69 -35 34
19 Fulham 38 7 5 26 34 81 -47 26
20 Huddersfield Town 38 3 7 28 22 76 -54 16

Head To Head Comparison

27.04.2019
Brighton and Hove Albion
Newcastle United
20.10.2018
Newcastle United
Brighton and Hove Albion
30.12.2017
Newcastle United
Brighton and Hove Albion
24.09.2017
Brighton and Hove Albion
Newcastle United
28.02.2017
Brighton and Hove Albion
Newcastle United
27.08.2016
Newcastle United
Brighton and Hove Albion

Last 5 Games

17.08.2019
Brighton and Hove Albion
West Ham United
10.08.2019
Watford
Brighton and Hove Albion
02.08.2019
Brighton and Hove Albion
Valencia
27.07.2019
Birmingham City
Brighton and Hove Albion
20.07.2019
Fulham
Brighton and Hove Albion

Last 5 Games

17.08.2019
Norwich City
Newcastle United
11.08.2019
Newcastle United
Arsenal
03.08.2019
Newcastle United
Saint-Etienne
30.07.2019
Hibernian
Newcastle United
27.07.2019
Preston North End
Newcastle United