Everton v Manchester United - Football Live Match Preview

Everton v Manchester United

Manchester United continue their quest for a top-four finish when they travel to Everton on Sunday afternoon.

Match Preview

 

United's Champions League hopes came to an end in midweek after they were knocked out at the quarter-final stage by Barcelona and all the Red Devils' focus is now on finishing in the Premier League's top four.

 

Defensive issues have been a huge problem for the 20-time English champions and they have not kept a clean sheet for 10 games in all competitions, their worst run for seven years.

 

Ole Gunnar Solskjaer's men have conceded 44 league goals so far this season, one short of the club's PL record for the most conceded in a season, set in 1999-2000 and 2001-02.

 

Left-back Luke Shaw will be missing through suspension but Ander Herrera, Nemanja Matic and Alexis Sanchez are available and could be recalled to the starting XI with changes expected.

 

Everton's three-match winning run was brought to a crashing halt last weekend when they lost 2-0 at already-relegated Fulham and Marco Silva once again finds himself under pressure.

 

The Toffees can win three successive home league games without conceding for the first time in two years if they manage to do so against United, who have only lost one of the last nine meetings between the two sides.

 

Midfielder Andre Gomes, who has been handed a retrospective three-match ban for a challenge on Aleksandr Mitrovic in the defeat at Fulham, will start his suspension while defender Yerry Mina is still sidelined through injury.

 

Betting Tips

 

PaddyPower Pre-Match Odds: Everton 21/10, Draw 23/10, Man Utd 13/10*

 

Everton losing away in Fulham may have been a saving grace for most punters. Ahead of that defeat, the Toffees were heading into this game with an incredibly short priced attached to their name.

 

With Marco Silva’s men winning three straight games ahead of that Fulham encounter, it’s fair to say that they are in good form ahead of their clash with Manchester United. 

 

The same cannot be said about Ole Gunnar Solskjaer’s men who have suffered three defeats in four games; alongside Champions League elimination at the hands of Barcelona. 

 

The pressure is firmly on the visitors to return to winning ways and once again challenge for the top four. With that in mind, the recommendation is to back the home side to pull off a surprise result and keep the three points in Liverpool. 

 

Everton to win and both teams to score is currently priced at 23/5 which is a price that simply cannot be ignored. 

 

Recommendation

Everton to win and both teams to score – 23/5 888Sport*

 

*odds correct at time of posting and are subject to change

Predictions
Markets Odds Probability %
Over 0.5 In 1st Half 1.57
76%
1st Goal Before 30 Minutes 1.83
62%
Over 2.5 In Full Time 1.94
56%
Both Teams To Score 5.50
56%

Simulation

Manchester United vs Everton

There is a 24.1% chance of a draw.
In simulations where the game is not a draw Manchester United, at 52.0%, are heavy favorites to beat Everton who have just a 23.9% chance to win at home.
Overall, the average simulation score is Manchester United 2.0 to Everton 1.3.
In simulation wins, Everton upsets Manchester United by averaging 13.8 shots and 4.9 shots on goal.
They average 2.4 goals in simulated victories vs just 0.7 in simulation losses.

Everton

Players Shots SG Goals G%
G. Sigurðsson 2.71 1.00 0.41 33.42%
Richarlison 3.09 1.02 0.34 28.48%
L. Digne 1.32 0.41 0.10 9.12%
S. Coleman 0.67 0.16 0.10 8.98%
Place Team GP Won Draw Lost GF GA +/- Points
1 Manchester City 38 32 2 4 95 23 72 98
2 Liverpool 38 30 7 1 89 22 67 97
3 Chelsea 38 21 9 8 63 39 24 72
4 Tottenham 38 23 2 13 67 39 28 71
5 Arsenal 38 21 7 10 73 51 22 70
6 Manchester United 38 19 9 10 65 54 11 66
7 Wolverhampton Wanderers 38 16 9 13 47 46 1 57
8 Everton 38 15 9 14 54 46 8 54
9 Leicester City 38 15 7 16 51 48 3 52
10 West Ham United 38 15 7 16 52 55 -3 52
11 Watford 38 14 8 16 52 59 -7 50
12 Crystal Palace 38 14 7 17 51 53 -2 49
13 Newcastle United 38 12 9 17 42 48 -6 45
14 AFC Bournemouth 38 13 6 19 56 70 -14 45
15 Burnley 38 11 7 20 45 68 -23 40
16 Southampton 38 9 12 17 45 65 -20 39
17 Brighton and Hove Albion 38 9 9 20 35 60 -25 36
18 Cardiff City 38 10 4 24 34 69 -35 34
19 Fulham 38 7 5 26 34 81 -47 26
20 Huddersfield Town 38 3 7 28 22 76 -54 16

Head To Head Comparison

21.04.2019
Everton
Manchester United
28.10.2018
Manchester United
Everton
01.01.2018
Everton
Manchester United
17.09.2017
Manchester United
Everton
04.04.2017
Manchester United
Everton
04.12.2016
Everton
Manchester United
03.08.2016
Manchester United
Everton
23.04.2016
Everton
Manchester United
03.04.2016
Manchester United
Everton
17.10.2015
Everton
Manchester United
26.04.2015
Everton
Manchester United
05.10.2014
Manchester United
Everton
20.04.2014
Everton
Manchester United

Last 5 Games

19.10.2019
Everton
West Ham United
05.10.2019
Burnley
Everton
28.09.2019
Everton
Manchester City
24.09.2019
Sheffield Wednesday
Everton
21.09.2019
Everton
Sheffield United

Last 5 Games

06.10.2019
Newcastle United
Manchester United
03.10.2019
AZ Alkmaar
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30.09.2019
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Arsenal
25.09.2019
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Rochdale
22.09.2019
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