Cardiff City v Liverpool - Football Live Match Preview

Cardiff City v Liverpool

Liverpool go in search of a crucial three points when they make the trip to Cardiff City on Sunday.

Match Preview

 

The Reds are still embroiled in a tight battle for the Premier League title with Manchester City and the Merseysiders head to Wales having booked their place in the semi-finals of the Champions League on Wednesday evening.

 

Liverpool racked up a 4-1 victory in Porto to extend their winning run in all competitions to eight matches, while Jurgen Klopp's men also stretched their unbeaten run to 17 games.

 

The German tactician is expected to have Croatian defender Dejan Lovren available after he missed the European trip due to illness, while Joe Gomez and Alex Oxlade-Chamberlain are also in contention.

 

"We will see. Dejan was ill so he should be available again, we will see that," he said at a press conference. "Pretty much all the rest should be available, I heard nothing after the Porto game.

 

"Always after games, a few players have slight, little problems but nothing really serious – so it should be OK, [they] should all be in."

 

Cardiff picked up a valuable three points at the AMEX Stadium last time out to move to within two points of Brighton and the Welsh outfit are feeling bullish about their chances of survival.

 

The Bluebirds will need a significant improvement to get the better of Liverpool, who have won the past three meetings in which they have scored a massive 13 goals.

 

Neil Warnock is without defender Sol Bamba, who is out long-term with a serious knee injury, while goalkeeper Alex Smithies and Matthew Connolly are also on the sidelines.

 

Callum Paterson, who scored in the reverse fixture at Anfield, will miss out with an ankle issue, while there are doubts over the fitness of midfield duo Aron Gunnarsson and Harry Arter, who are nursing back and calf problems respectively.

 

Betting Tips

 

PaddyPower Pre-Match Odds: Cardiff 22/1, Draw 8/1, Liverpool 15/8

 

With Brighton managing a draw against Wolves, Cardiff are now under more pressure than ever before to pick up points. 

 

That’s a lot easier said than done with Neil Warnock’s men taking on a Liverpool side who are chasing Manchester City for the Premier League crown. 

 

The Reds have won eight straight games and haven’t suffered a defeat since bowing out of the FA Cup in early January. 

 

Cardiff, on the other hand, have had it rough with their fixture list. Games against the likes of Chelsea and Manchester City haven’t made their survival hopes any better however, their recent victory over Brighton will no doubt raise spirits. 

 

Despite that, it’s unlikely that Wrnock’s men will be able to halt the footballing heavy metal machine of Jurgen Klopp. The Reds have been simply sensational and have to be backed in this game. Liverpool to win by a margin of two goals is priced at 11/4. 

 

Recommendation

Liverpool to win by a margin of two goals – 11/4 bet365*

 

*odds correct at time of posting and are subject to change

Predictions
Markets Odds Probability %
Over 0.5 In 1st Half 1.27
65%
Over 2.5 In Full Time 3.90
56%
Last Goal After 73 Minutes 1.83
56%

Simulation

Liverpool vs Cardiff City

There is a 13.5% chance of a draw.
In simulations where the game is not a draw Liverpool, at 82.3%, are heavy favorites to beat Cardiff City who have just a 4.3% chance to win at home.
Overall, the average simulation score is Liverpool 2.7 to Cardiff City 0.5.
In simulation wins, Cardiff City upsets Liverpool by averaging 7.9 shots and 3.3 shots on goal.
They average 1.8 goals in simulated victories vs just 0.3 in simulation losses.

Cardiff City

Players Shots SG Goals G%
A. Gunnarsson 0.56 0.15 0.06 5.50%
S. Morrison 0.87 0.28 0.05 4.38%
Víctor Camarasa 0.97 0.27 0.04 4.34%

Liverpool

Players Shots SG Goals G%
Mohamed Salah 4.66 2.05 1.04 64.14%
S. Mané 2.85 1.20 0.46 37.70%
T. Alexander-Arnold 1.23 0.37 0.11 10.24%
Place Team GP Won Draw Lost GF GA +/- Points
1 Manchester City 38 32 2 4 95 23 72 98
2 Liverpool 38 30 7 1 89 22 67 97
3 Chelsea 38 21 9 8 63 39 24 72
4 Tottenham 38 23 2 13 67 39 28 71
5 Arsenal 38 21 7 10 73 51 22 70
6 Manchester United 38 19 9 10 65 54 11 66
7 Wolverhampton Wanderers 38 16 9 13 47 46 1 57
8 Everton 38 15 9 14 54 46 8 54
9 Leicester City 38 15 7 16 51 48 3 52
10 West Ham United 38 15 7 16 52 55 -3 52
11 Watford 38 14 8 16 52 59 -7 50
12 Crystal Palace 38 14 7 17 51 53 -2 49
13 Newcastle United 38 12 9 17 42 48 -6 45
14 AFC Bournemouth 38 13 6 19 56 70 -14 45
15 Burnley 38 11 7 20 45 68 -23 40
16 Southampton 38 9 12 17 45 65 -20 39
17 Brighton and Hove Albion 38 9 9 20 35 60 -25 36
18 Cardiff City 38 10 4 24 34 69 -35 34
19 Fulham 38 7 5 26 34 81 -47 26
20 Huddersfield Town 38 3 7 28 22 76 -54 16

Head To Head Comparison

21.04.2019
Cardiff City
Liverpool
27.10.2018
Liverpool
Cardiff City

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Brighton and Hove Albion
Cardiff City

Last 5 Games

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