Arsenal v Crystal Palace - Football Live Match Preview

Arsenal v Crystal Palace

Arsenal will look to maintain their top-four challenge when they welcome Crystal Palace to the Emirates on Sunday.

Paddy Power pre-match odds: Arsenal 4/9, Draw 7/2, Crystal Palace 11/2*

The Gunners are in a real battle to finish in the Champions League positions but they head into the contest on the back of a 1-0 Europa League victory in Napoli on Thursday, a result which sent Unai Emery's men into the semi-finals.

Arsenal have won their last three games in all competitions - all of those coming with clean sheets - while they have come out victorious in their last eight home matches.

Wales international Aaron Ramsey has been ruled out of the game after picking up a hamstring injury in the win in Italy but the midfielder is hoping to return before the end of the season.

Centre-back Sokratis is also missing as he serves the final game of his two-match suspension, while the midfield duo of Granit Xhaka and Denis Suarez are being assessed as they struggle with hip and groin issues respectively.

Right-back Hector Bellerin and fellow defender Rob Holding are long-term absentees as they continue to recover from knee injuries while forward Danny Welbeck has only just started on-field rehabilitation following an injury to his right ankle.

Palace's survival is almost assured with eight points the gap to 18th-placed Cardiff City and the Eagles will be looking to bounce back to winning ways after the 3-1 loss to Manchester City last time out.

Roy Hodgson's men have won three of their last four league matches away from home but they have never picked up a win at the Emirates in the six times they have visited.

Palace will be without Jeffrey Schlupp, who will miss the remainder of the season with an ankle injury, Mamadou Sakho and James Tomkins.

*odds correct at time of posting and are subject to change

Predictions
Markets Odds Probability %
Goals In Last 15 Minutes  
74%
Last Goal After 73 Minutes 1.87
74%
Over 0.5 In 1st Half 1.29
68%
Both Teams To Score 1.74
56%

Simulation

Crystal Palace vs Arsenal

There is a 25.0% chance of a draw.
In simulations where the game is not a draw Arsenal, at 57.1%, are heavy favorites to beat Crystal Palace who have a 17.9% chance.
In simulation wins, Crystal Palace upsets Arsenal by averaging 10.7 shots and 4.0 shots on goal.
They average 2.1 goals in simulated victories vs just 0.6 in simulation losses.
Overall, the average simulation score is Arsenal 1.9 to Crystal Palace 1.0.

Arsenal

Players Shots SG Goals G%
A. Lacazette 3.23 1.51 0.70 50.76%
M. Özil 1.52 0.61 0.37 31.38%
S. Mustafi 0.96 0.54 0.18 16.42%
S. Kolašinac 1.02 0.23 0.07 7.08%

Crystal Palace

Players Shots SG Goals G%
L. Milivojević 1.20 0.47 0.20 18.64%
J. McArthur 0.84 0.27 0.14 12.84%
Place Team GP Won Draw Lost GF GA +/- Points
1 Manchester City 38 32 2 4 95 23 72 98
2 Liverpool 38 30 7 1 89 22 67 97
3 Chelsea 38 21 9 8 63 39 24 72
4 Tottenham 38 23 2 13 67 39 28 71
5 Arsenal 38 21 7 10 73 51 22 70
6 Manchester United 38 19 9 10 65 54 11 66
7 Wolverhampton Wanderers 38 16 9 13 47 46 1 57
8 Everton 38 15 9 14 54 46 8 54
9 Leicester City 38 15 7 16 51 48 3 52
10 West Ham United 38 15 7 16 52 55 -3 52
11 Watford 38 14 8 16 52 59 -7 50
12 Crystal Palace 38 14 7 17 51 53 -2 49
13 Newcastle United 38 12 9 17 42 48 -6 45
14 AFC Bournemouth 38 13 6 19 56 70 -14 45
15 Burnley 38 11 7 20 45 68 -23 40
16 Southampton 38 9 12 17 45 65 -20 39
17 Brighton and Hove Albion 38 9 9 20 35 60 -25 36
18 Cardiff City 38 10 4 24 34 69 -35 34
19 Fulham 38 7 5 26 34 81 -47 26
20 Huddersfield Town 38 3 7 28 22 76 -54 16

Head To Head Comparison

21.04.2019
Arsenal
Crystal Palace
28.10.2018
Crystal Palace
Arsenal
20.01.2018
Arsenal
Crystal Palace
28.12.2017
Crystal Palace
Arsenal
10.04.2017
Crystal Palace
Arsenal
01.01.2017
Arsenal
Crystal Palace
17.04.2016
Arsenal
Crystal Palace
16.08.2015
Crystal Palace
Arsenal
21.02.2015
Crystal Palace
Arsenal
16.08.2014
Arsenal
Crystal Palace

Last 5 Games

20.07.2019
Arsenal
Fiorentina
18.07.2019
Arsenal
Bayern Munchen
16.07.2019
Colorado Rapids
Arsenal
06.07.2019
Boreham Wood
Arsenal
29.05.2019
Chelsea
Arsenal

Last 5 Games

20.07.2019
Bromley
Crystal Palace
19.07.2019
Nottingham Forest
Crystal Palace
16.07.2019
Barnet
Crystal Palace
13.07.2019
Young Boys
Crystal Palace
09.07.2019
Luzern
Crystal Palace