Watford v Southampton - Football Live Match Preview

Watford v Southampton

Southampton can go a long way to guaranteeing their Premier League status if they win at FA Cup finalists Watford on Tuesday.

Not many people have been tipping the Saints for relegation due to the improvement they have made under Ralph Hasenhuttl over recent months, but Saturday's 3-1 loss at Newcastle does leave them still looking over their shoulders, as they are just five points clear of the drop zone.
One more win should be enough to get Southampton over the line in terms of survival and they do have a good recent record at Vicarage Road, as they are unbeaten on their last five visits to the venue.
However, Watford are a different beast under Javi Gracia this season and they will move back up to seventh in the standings as long as they avoid defeat on Tuesday.
The Hornets have only lost one of their last six home games in the league and there have been no signs of them taking the foot off the gas, even though they will have one eye on next month's FA Cup final against Manchester City.
Gerard Deulofeu has been the man in form for Watford of late, with four goals from his last two starts, and he is likely to be the Hornets main threat on Tuesday, particularly as Troy Deeney will be serving the second match of his three-game ban.
Roberto Pereyra could also miss out for Watford as he continues to struggle with the hip injury that saw him miss Saturday's 2-1 win at Huddersfield.
Mario Lemina made a goalscoring return as a substitute for Southampton on Saturday and he will now be hoping to earn his first start since December.
Defender Jannik Vestergaard could also feature after missing the defeat on Tyneside due to a minor knock.

Predictions
Markets Odds Probability %
Over 0.5 In 1st Half 1.37
64%
Over 2.5 In Full Time 1.87
61%

Simulation

Southampton vs Watford

There is a 32.5% chance of a draw.
In simulations where the game is not a draw Watford, at 47.4%, are heavy favorites to beat Southampton who have a 20.1% chance.
In simulation wins, Southampton upsets Watford by averaging 8.4 shots and 3.0 shots on goal.
They average 1.7 goals in simulated victories vs just 0.3 in simulation losses.
Overall, the average simulation score is Watford 1.3 to Southampton 0.7.

Watford

Players Shots SG Goals G%
R. Pereyra 1.55 0.61 0.25 22.46%
Deulofeu 1.66 0.50 0.17 15.80%
A. Doucouré 1.52 0.50 0.16 14.46%
W. Hughes 0.87 0.39 0.11 10.12%

Southampton

Players Shots SG Goals G%
P. Højbjerg 1.45 0.52 0.17 15.38%
N. Redmond 1.34 0.36 0.12 11.02%
Place Team GP Won Draw Lost GF GA +/- Points
1 Manchester City 38 32 2 4 95 23 72 98
2 Liverpool 38 30 7 1 89 22 67 97
3 Chelsea 38 21 9 8 63 39 24 72
4 Tottenham 38 23 2 13 67 39 28 71
5 Arsenal 38 21 7 10 73 51 22 70
6 Manchester United 38 19 9 10 65 54 11 66
7 Wolverhampton Wanderers 38 16 9 13 47 46 1 57
8 Everton 38 15 9 14 54 46 8 54
9 Leicester City 38 15 7 16 51 48 3 52
10 West Ham United 38 15 7 16 52 55 -3 52
11 Watford 38 14 8 16 52 59 -7 50
12 Crystal Palace 38 14 7 17 51 53 -2 49
13 Newcastle United 38 12 9 17 42 48 -6 45
14 AFC Bournemouth 38 13 6 19 56 70 -14 45
15 Burnley 38 11 7 20 45 68 -23 40
16 Southampton 38 9 12 17 45 65 -20 39
17 Brighton and Hove Albion 38 9 9 20 35 60 -25 36
18 Cardiff City 38 10 4 24 34 69 -35 34
19 Fulham 38 7 5 26 34 81 -47 26
20 Huddersfield Town 38 3 7 28 22 76 -54 16

Head To Head Comparison

23.04.2019
Watford
Southampton
10.11.2018
Southampton
Watford
27.01.2018
Southampton
Watford
13.01.2018
Watford
Southampton
09.09.2017
Southampton
Watford
04.03.2017
Watford
Southampton
13.08.2016
Southampton
Watford
13.01.2016
Southampton
Watford
23.08.2015
Watford
Southampton

Last 5 Games

18.05.2019
Manchester City
Watford
12.05.2019
Watford
West Ham United
05.05.2019
Chelsea
Watford
27.04.2019
Watford
Wolverhampton Wanderers
23.04.2019
Watford
Southampton

Last 5 Games

14.07.2019
Rheindorf Altach
Southampton
12.05.2019
Southampton
Huddersfield Town
04.05.2019
West Ham United
Southampton
27.04.2019
Southampton
AFC Bournemouth
23.04.2019
Watford
Southampton