Manchester United v Manchester City - Football Live Match Preview

Man United v Man City

The pressure will be on both Manchester United and Manchester City when they meet in Wednesday's derby at Old Trafford.

United will be desperate to bounce back from a recent run of form that has seen them lose six of their last eight games across all competitions, a run that includes Sunday’s 4-0 hammering at Everton.


City, by contrast, have won 10 Premier League matches on the spin since losing at Newcastle at the end of January, and they can move back to the top of the Premier League standings if they secure all three points at the home of their city rivals.


That may be easier said than done, however, as, despite their poor recent form, United are actually unbeaten in their last 14 top-flight matches on home soil, winning nine of those games, with Tottenham being the last team to claim all three points at Old Trafford back in August.


However, if any team knows how to win at the Theatre of Dreams it is City, who have emerged victorious on five of their last seven league trips to Old Trafford, including a 2-1 victory on their most recent visit last season.


United boss Ole Gunnar Solskjaer was involved in many Manchester derbies as a player, but this will be his first one as a manager and he is expected to be boosted by the return of midfielder Ander Herrera, who has been sidelined for the last four weeks with a thigh injury.


Luke Shaw is also available following a domestic suspension, while Solskjaer may look to make a number of changes to the team that struggled so badly against Everton.


The big team news for City is that Kevin de Bruyne will miss Wednesday's match with the muscular injury he picked up against Tottenham at the weekend.


The Belgian could, however, return for Sunday's trip to Turf Moor to take on Burnley.

 

Betting Advice

 

Manchester United have been priced at a massive 11/2 ahead of their clash with neighbors Manchester City. The question is whether it’s worth taking? 

 

PaddyPower Pre-Match Odds: Man Utd 11/2, Draw 7/2, Man City 4/9

 

What’s going on with Manchester United? Ole Gunnar Solskjaer’s men will be hoping to find an answer as quick as they can ahead of this upcoming do or die clash with rivals City. 

 

United are heading into this game on the back of two straight defeats. A 3-0 loss to Barcelona in the Champions League was followed by a 4-0 whopping at the hands of Everton. 

 

Perhaps what’s more concerning is the fact that United have only managed two goals in four games - at the same time conceding nine. 

 

Looking at Manchester City, theoretically they should clubber their local rivals with time to spare. City are on a three-match winning run and have suffered just one defeat in 18 games across all competitions. 

 

With that in mind, the recommendation is to back the visitors. However, City alone don’t provide many attractive prices. In order to find value, we recommend to back a City win by a margin of two goals. 

 

This bet is currently priced at 10/3 which makes far better reading than the outright price of 4/9. 

 

Recommendation

Man City to win by a margin of two goals – 10/3 bet365

Predictions
Markets Odds Probability %
Over 0.5 In 1st Half 1.30
75%
1st Goal Before 30 Minutes 1.83
66%
Over 2.5 In Full Time 4.00
66%
Both Teams To Score 5.60
59%
Last Goal After 73 Minutes 1.91
56%

Simulation

Manchester City vs Manchester United

There is a 21.0% chance of a draw.
In simulations where the game is not a draw Manchester City, at 64.6%, are heavy favorites to beat Manchester United who have just a 14.4% chance to win at home.
Overall, the average simulation score is Manchester City 2.2 to Manchester United 1.0.
In simulation wins, Manchester United upsets Manchester City by averaging 9.5 shots and 4.4 shots on goal.
They average 2.2 goals in simulated victories vs just 0.6 in simulation losses.

Manchester City

Players Shots SG Goals G%
S. Agüero 4.39 1.62 0.69 49.78%
R. Sterling 2.75 1.24 0.56 43.00%
David Silva 2.06 0.78 0.34 28.60%
Bernardo Silva 1.40 0.54 0.24 21.04%
Place Team GP Won Draw Lost GF GA +/- Points
1 Manchester City 38 32 2 4 95 23 72 98
2 Liverpool 38 30 7 1 89 22 67 97
3 Chelsea 38 21 9 8 63 39 24 72
4 Tottenham 38 23 2 13 67 39 28 71
5 Arsenal 38 21 7 10 73 51 22 70
6 Manchester United 38 19 9 10 65 54 11 66
7 Wolverhampton Wanderers 38 16 9 13 47 46 1 57
8 Everton 38 15 9 14 54 46 8 54
9 Leicester City 38 15 7 16 51 48 3 52
10 West Ham United 38 15 7 16 52 55 -3 52
11 Watford 38 14 8 16 52 59 -7 50
12 Crystal Palace 38 14 7 17 51 53 -2 49
13 Newcastle United 38 12 9 17 42 48 -6 45
14 AFC Bournemouth 38 13 6 19 56 70 -14 45
15 Burnley 38 11 7 20 45 68 -23 40
16 Southampton 38 9 12 17 45 65 -20 39
17 Brighton and Hove Albion 38 9 9 20 35 60 -25 36
18 Cardiff City 38 10 4 24 34 69 -35 34
19 Fulham 38 7 5 26 34 81 -47 26
20 Huddersfield Town 38 3 7 28 22 76 -54 16

Head To Head Comparison

24.04.2019
Manchester United
Manchester City
11.11.2018
Manchester City
Manchester United
07.04.2018
Manchester City
Manchester United
10.12.2017
Manchester United
Manchester City
21.07.2017
Manchester United
Manchester City
27.04.2017
Manchester City
Manchester United
26.10.2016
Manchester United
Manchester City
10.09.2016
Manchester United
Manchester City
20.03.2016
Manchester City
Manchester United
25.10.2015
Manchester United
Manchester City
12.04.2015
Manchester United
Manchester City
02.11.2014
Manchester City
Manchester United

Last 5 Games

12.05.2019
Manchester United
Cardiff City
05.05.2019
Huddersfield Town
Manchester United
28.04.2019
Manchester United
Chelsea
24.04.2019
Manchester United
Manchester City
21.04.2019
Everton
Manchester United

Last 5 Games

18.05.2019
Manchester City
Watford
12.05.2019
Brighton and Hove Albion
Manchester City
06.05.2019
Manchester City
Leicester City
28.04.2019
Burnley
Manchester City
24.04.2019
Manchester United
Manchester City