Southampton v Tottenham - Football Live Match Preview

Southampton vs Tottenham

Southampton will hope to move away from the relegation zone when they welcome Tottenham to St Mary's this weekend.

bet365 Pre-Match Odds: Southampton 11/4, Draw 13/5, Tottenham 10/11

 

MATCH PREVIEW

 

The Saints are just two points above the drop zone heading into this weekend's fixtures.

 

With Cardiff chasing them, Southampton know they cannot afford to slip up on the south coast. 

 

Southampton have won just one of their last six matches and they will be without star striker Danny Ings this weekend.

 

Ings is struggling with a hamstring problem and the Saints coaching staff have decided to wait for their following game in three weeks time.

 

Midfielder Mario Lemina is nearing a return after abdominal surgery.

 

Tottenham head into the game in good spirits after beating Borussia Dortmund in midweek in the Champions League.

 

Coach Mauricio Pochettino could include Dele Alli for the first time since suffering a hamstring strain seven weeks ago.

 

Harry Winks is a doubt with a recurring groin problem, while Eric Dier returned from tonsillitis to play on Tuesday night.

 

 

Ralph Hassenhuttl's troops have not won any of their last six home league games against Spurs since returning to the Premier League in 2012.

 

BETTING ADVICE

 

Following a three-match winless run in the Premier League, Tottenham will be looking to return to winning ways when they travel to St. Mary’s. 

 

After facing successive defeats to Burnley and Chelsea, Spurs then went on to draw against Arsenal at Wembley. This three-match run has all but ended Tottenham’s title challenge and has opened up the race for third place. 

 

Spurs now find themselves only three points above fourth placed Manchester United and five points above sixth placed Chelsea. 

 

With that in mind, this upcoming clash against Saints does feel like a must win encounter for Mauricio Pochettino’s side. 

 

Southampton are in a similar predicament to their opponents. Ralph Hasenhuttl got off to a great start as the new man in charge of the club however, in recent weeks points have been hard to come by. 

 

Three defeats in four games has seen Southampton dip in and out of the relegation zone. With Cardiff on a three-match losing run, Saints are currently two-points above the drop zone. 

 

The recommendation in this game is to back the away side. Spurs were magnificent as they dismantled Dortmund in their Champions League tie and should have too much confidence and quality for this struggling Southampton side.

 

Recommendation
Tottenham to win - 10/11 bet365

 

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Predictions
Markets Odds Probability %
Over 2.5 In Full Time 3.20
65%
Both Teams To Score 4.33
62%
Over 0.5 In 1st Half 2.00
62%
Sum of Goal Between 2 & 3 2.03
62%
Last Goal After 73 Minutes 2.00
59%
Goals In Last 15 Minutes  
55%
Over 2.5 Both Teams To Score 2.20
55%

Simulation

Tottenham Hotspur vs Southampton

There is a 23.0% chance of a draw.
In simulations where the game is not a draw Tottenham Hotspur, at 62.6%, are heavy favorites to beat Southampton who have just a 14.4% chance to win at home.
Overall, the average simulation score is Tottenham Hotspur 2.0 to Southampton 0.9.
In simulation wins, Southampton upsets Tottenham Hotspur by averaging 11.7 shots and 4.7 shots on goal.
They average 2.0 goals in simulated victories vs just 0.5 in simulation losses.

Southampton

Players Shots SG Goals G%
P. Højbjerg 1.98 0.75 0.17 15.20%
N. Redmond 1.82 0.53 0.11 10.76%
M. Yoshida 1.01 0.14 0.06 5.92%

Tottenham

Players Shots SG Goals G%
H. Kane 4.67 2.16 0.86 58.12%
Lucas Moura 1.71 0.67 0.43 34.98%
D. Alli 1.85 0.59 0.23 21.04%
Place Team GP Won Draw Lost GF GA +/- Points
1 Manchester City 38 32 2 4 95 23 72 98
2 Liverpool 38 30 7 1 89 22 67 97
3 Chelsea 38 21 9 8 63 39 24 72
4 Tottenham 38 23 2 13 67 39 28 71
5 Arsenal 38 21 7 10 73 51 22 70
6 Manchester United 38 19 9 10 65 54 11 66
7 Wolverhampton Wanderers 38 16 9 13 47 46 1 57
8 Everton 38 15 9 14 54 46 8 54
9 Leicester City 38 15 7 16 51 48 3 52
10 West Ham United 38 15 7 16 52 55 -3 52
11 Watford 38 14 8 16 52 59 -7 50
12 Crystal Palace 38 14 7 17 51 53 -2 49
13 Newcastle United 38 12 9 17 42 48 -6 45
14 AFC Bournemouth 38 13 6 19 56 70 -14 45
15 Burnley 38 11 7 20 45 68 -23 40
16 Southampton 38 9 12 17 45 65 -20 39
17 Brighton and Hove Albion 38 9 9 20 35 60 -25 36
18 Cardiff City 38 10 4 24 34 69 -35 34
19 Fulham 38 7 5 26 34 81 -47 26
20 Huddersfield Town 38 3 7 28 22 76 -54 16

Head To Head Comparison

28.09.2019
Tottenham
Southampton
09.03.2019
Southampton
Tottenham
05.12.2018
Tottenham
Southampton
21.01.2018
Southampton
Tottenham
26.12.2017
Tottenham
Southampton
19.03.2017
Tottenham
Southampton
28.12.2016
Southampton
Tottenham
08.05.2016
Tottenham
Southampton
19.12.2015
Southampton
Tottenham
25.04.2015
Southampton
Tottenham
05.10.2014
Tottenham
Southampton
05.10.2014
Tottenham
Southampton

Last 5 Games

19.10.2019
Wolverhampton Wanderers
Southampton
06.10.2019
Southampton
Chelsea
28.09.2019
Tottenham
Southampton
24.09.2019
Portsmouth
Southampton
20.09.2019
Southampton
AFC Bournemouth

Last 5 Games

19.10.2019
Tottenham
Watford
05.10.2019
Brighton and Hove Albion
Tottenham
01.10.2019
Tottenham
Bayern Munchen
28.09.2019
Tottenham
Southampton
24.09.2019
Colchester United
Tottenham