Manchester City v Chelsea - Football Live Match Preview

Manchester City vs Chelsea

 Manchester City's title credentials will be put to the test when they host Chelsea on Sunday.

bet365 match odds: Man City 1/2, Draw 18/5, Chelsea 6/1

 

It was Chelsea who inflicted a first league defeat of the season on City in the reverse fixture in December, ending the champions’ long unbeaten run.

 

That result seems to have pierced City's veil of invincibility. Pep Guardiola’s men have lost three more times since the defeat at Stamford Bridge, including back-to-back losses to Crystal Palace and Leicester City.

 

To their credit, City dusted themselves down and have hauled themselves back into the title race.

 

For different reasons both these sides will be keeping watching briefs on Liverpool’s home clash with Bournemouth and Manchester United's tie at Fulham on Saturday.

 

By the time they take to the pitch both City and Chelsea could be trying to reclaim lost spots in the league table.

 

If Liverpool and Manchester United win their matches they will leapfrog City and Chelsea into first and fourth respectively.

 

City claimed top spot on goal difference on the back of a 2-0 win over Everton in a rearranged fixture in midweek.

 

It was the Citizens’ second win in four days after beating Arsenal 3-1 on Sunday.

 

Chelsea bounced back from two consecutive defeats with a comprehensive 5-0 thrashing of Huddersfield last time out. Manager Maurizio Sarri will be demanding more of the same at the Etihad Stadium.

 

Manchester City and Chelsea meet again in the Carabao Cup final on 24 February.

 

TEAM NEWS

 

Kevin De Bruyne and Raheem Sterling are both expected to be restored to the starting line-up after dropping to the bench for the midweek trip to Everton.

 

Bernard Mendy, Vincent Kompany and Claudio Bravo remain sidelined.

 

Apart from Gary Cahill and Callum Hudson-Odoi, Chelsea boss Maurizio Sarri has the luxury of picking from a full squad.

 

Cahill, who has hardly featured this season, is nursing a back problem, while Hudson-Odoi has a fever. 

 

Antonio Rudiger is expected to return from the injury that caused him to miss the win over Huddersfield.

 

TOP TIPS

 

Sergio Aguero first goalscorer @ 11/4 bet365

 

Man City-Man City double result @ 6/5 bet365

 

 

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Predictions
Markets Odds Probability %
Over 2.5 In Full Time 1.70
84%
Over 0.5 In 1st Half 1.30
83%
1st Goal Before 30 Minutes 1.83
67%
Both Teams To Score 8.00
55%
Over 2.5 Both Teams To Score 2.10
55%

Simulation

Chelsea vs Manchester City

There is a 22.0% chance of a draw.
In simulations where the game is not a draw Manchester City, at 64.0%, are heavy favorites to beat Chelsea who have a 14.1% chance.
In simulation wins, Chelsea upsets Manchester City by averaging 9.8 shots and 4.1 shots on goal.
They average 2.3 goals in simulated victories vs just 0.6 in simulation losses.
Overall, the average simulation score is Manchester City 2.3 to Chelsea 1.0.

Manchester City

Players Shots SG Goals G%
S. Agüero 3.89 1.54 0.72 51.04%
R. Sterling 2.43 1.18 0.59 43.84%
Bernardo Silva 1.24 0.50 0.24 21.38%
Fernandinho 1.17 0.41 0.11 10.12%

Chelsea

Players Shots SG Goals G%
Marcos Alonso 0.98 0.26 0.07 7.02%
Place Team GP Won Draw Lost GF GA +/- Points
1 Manchester City 38 32 2 4 95 23 72 98
2 Liverpool 38 30 7 1 89 22 67 97
3 Chelsea 38 21 9 8 63 39 24 72
4 Tottenham 38 23 2 13 67 39 28 71
5 Arsenal 38 21 7 10 73 51 22 70
6 Manchester United 38 19 9 10 65 54 11 66
7 Wolverhampton Wanderers 38 16 9 13 47 46 1 57
8 Everton 38 15 9 14 54 46 8 54
9 Leicester City 38 15 7 16 51 48 3 52
10 West Ham United 38 15 7 16 52 55 -3 52
11 Watford 38 14 8 16 52 59 -7 50
12 Crystal Palace 38 14 7 17 51 53 -2 49
13 Newcastle United 38 12 9 17 42 48 -6 45
14 AFC Bournemouth 38 13 6 19 56 70 -14 45
15 Burnley 38 11 7 20 45 68 -23 40
16 Southampton 38 9 12 17 45 65 -20 39
17 Brighton and Hove Albion 38 9 9 20 35 60 -25 36
18 Cardiff City 38 10 4 24 34 69 -35 34
19 Fulham 38 7 5 26 34 81 -47 26
20 Huddersfield Town 38 3 7 28 22 76 -54 16

Head To Head Comparison

24.02.2019
Chelsea
Manchester City
10.02.2019
Manchester City
Chelsea
08.12.2018
Chelsea
Manchester City
05.08.2018
Chelsea
Manchester City
04.03.2018
Manchester City
Chelsea
30.09.2017
Chelsea
Manchester City
05.04.2017
Chelsea
Manchester City
03.12.2016
Manchester City
Chelsea
16.04.2016
Chelsea
Manchester City
21.02.2016
Chelsea
Manchester City
16.08.2015
Manchester City
Chelsea
31.01.2015
Chelsea
Manchester City
21.09.2014
Manchester City
Chelsea

Last 5 Games

17.08.2019
Manchester City
Tottenham
10.08.2019
West Ham United
Manchester City
04.08.2019
Liverpool
Manchester City
27.07.2019
Yokohama FMarinos
Manchester City
24.07.2019
Kitchee FC
Manchester City

Last 5 Games

14.08.2019
Liverpool
Chelsea
11.08.2019
Manchester United
Chelsea
03.08.2019
Borussia Monchengladbach
Chelsea
31.07.2019
RB Salzburg
Chelsea
28.07.2019
Reading
Chelsea