Arsenal v Tottenham - Football Live Match Preview

Arsenal v Tottenham

Arsenal v Tottenham

bet365 match odds: Arsenal 13/8, Draw 13/5, Tottenham 7/4

Will Arsenal’s 18-match unbeaten record survive when they lock horns with fierce north London rivals Tottenham at the Emirates on Sunday?

This tie is arguably the sternest test of Unai Emery’s quiet Arsenal revolution since the losses to Manchester City and Chelsea in the opening two games of the campaign.

Those two early setbacks in August remain the only defeats of Emery’s embryonic Premier League managerial career.

Most recently the Gunners drew 1-1 with Liverpool, pegging back the Reds in their hitherto neck-to-neck duel with Manchester City at the top. The result underlined the progress Arsenal are making.

However, the north London derby is special and presents a different kind of challenge. It is a battle within the Premier League war, a fight for bragging rights.

How well Arsenal acquit themselves against their highly motivated adversary will serve as a gauge of how far they have come under their new manager.

It's the second successive derby for Spurs who outclassed Chelsea 3-1 at Wembley last Saturday. Mauricio Pochettino’s men followed that up with a 1-0 win over Inter Milan in midweek to keep their slim chances of qualifying for the Champions League Round of 16 alive.

Meanwhile, Arsenal overcame the inconvenience of a late venue change for their Europa League clash with Vorskla Poltava to record a resounding 3-0 win in Kiev on Thursday night.

Although they played a day later than Spurs, the Gunners will have the advantage of freshness over their fierce city rivals.

With Arsenal having already secured their place to the knockout stage, Emery made 11 changes to the side that beat Bournemouth last Sunday, opting to keep his first-team regulars fresh for the derby.

By contrast, faced with a win-or-bust situation, Spurs boss Mauricio Pochettino put out his strongest available starting XI for the clash with Inter Milan.

How much did the intense midweek performance take out of Spurs players? 

We will discover on Sunday.

A win will see Tottenham consolidate third place and temporarily move level on points with second-placed Liverpool, who play Everton later on the same day.

TEAM NEWS

Unai Emery is set to make wholesale changes and name a completely different starting XI to the one that beat Vorskla on Thursday.

The youngsters and fringe players who featured in Ukraine are all expected to defer to the regulars as Emery gets a taste of his first north London derby.

Pochettino could restore Christian Eriksen, Eric Dier and Son Heung-Min to the starting line- up after the trio dropped to the bench against Inter.

Jan Vertonghen looks set to continue in central defence alongside Toby Alderweireld after returning to the fold in midweek following a long lay off.

Moussa Dembele, Davinson Sanchez and Kieran Trippier remain sidelined, but fit-again Danny Rose could feature after being named in the matchday squad on Wednesday.

TOP TIPS

Harry Kane to score first @ 4/1 Betfair

Tottenham to win @ 7/4 bet365

  • All prices with bet365.com are correct at time of publication.
  • Up to £100 in Bet Credits for new customers at bet365
  • Min deposit £5 and 1x settled bet requirement to release Bet Credits. Min odds, bet and payment method exclusions apply. Returns exclude Bet Credits stake. Time limits and T&Cs apply.

Predictions
Markets Odds Probability %
Sum of Goal Between 2 & 3 2.15
67%
Over 0.5 In 1st Half 1.40
60%

Simulation

Tottenham Hotspur vs Arsenal

There is a 26.2% chance of a draw.
In simulations where the game is not a draw Tottenham Hotspur, at 44.2%, are solid favorites to beat Arsenal who have a 29.6% chance at home.
Overall, the average simulation score is Tottenham Hotspur 1.6 to Arsenal 1.3.
In simulation wins, Arsenal upsets Tottenham Hotspur by averaging 12.0 shots and 4.9 shots on goal.
They average 2.3 goals in simulated victories vs just 0.7 in simulation losses.

Arsenal

Players Shots SG Goals G%
P. Aubameyang 2.57 1.10 0.61 45.58%
G. Xhaka 1.22 0.41 0.09 8.88%
L. Torreira 0.93 0.24 0.09 8.30%
S. Mustafi 0.60 0.32 0.07 7.16%

Tottenham

Players Shots SG Goals G%
H. Kane 3.79 1.72 0.70 50.02%
D. Alli 1.57 0.50 0.19 17.60%
Place Team GP Won Draw Lost GF GA +/- Points
1 Manchester City 38 32 2 4 95 23 72 98
2 Liverpool 38 30 7 1 89 22 67 97
3 Chelsea 38 21 9 8 63 39 24 72
4 Tottenham 38 23 2 13 67 39 28 71
5 Arsenal 38 21 7 10 73 51 22 70
6 Manchester United 38 19 9 10 65 54 11 66
7 Wolverhampton Wanderers 38 16 9 13 47 46 1 57
8 Everton 38 15 9 14 54 46 8 54
9 Leicester City 38 15 7 16 51 48 3 52
10 West Ham United 38 15 7 16 52 55 -3 52
11 Watford 38 14 8 16 52 59 -7 50
12 Crystal Palace 38 14 7 17 51 53 -2 49
13 Newcastle United 38 12 9 17 42 48 -6 45
14 AFC Bournemouth 38 13 6 19 56 70 -14 45
15 Burnley 38 11 7 20 45 68 -23 40
16 Southampton 38 9 12 17 45 65 -20 39
17 Brighton and Hove Albion 38 9 9 20 35 60 -25 36
18 Cardiff City 38 10 4 24 34 69 -35 34
19 Fulham 38 7 5 26 34 81 -47 26
20 Huddersfield Town 38 3 7 28 22 76 -54 16

Head To Head Comparison

01.09.2019
Arsenal
Tottenham
02.03.2019
Tottenham
Arsenal
19.12.2018
Arsenal
Tottenham
02.12.2018
Arsenal
Tottenham
10.02.2018
Tottenham
Arsenal
18.11.2017
Arsenal
Tottenham
30.04.2017
Tottenham
Arsenal
06.11.2016
Arsenal
Tottenham
05.03.2016
Tottenham
Arsenal
08.11.2015
Arsenal
Tottenham
23.09.2015
Tottenham
Arsenal
07.02.2015
Tottenham
Arsenal
27.09.2014
Arsenal
Tottenham

Last 5 Games

06.10.2019
Arsenal
AFC Bournemouth
03.10.2019
Arsenal
Standard Liege
30.09.2019
Manchester United
Arsenal
24.09.2019
Arsenal
Nottingham Forest
22.09.2019
Arsenal
Aston Villa

Last 5 Games

05.10.2019
Brighton and Hove Albion
Tottenham
01.10.2019
Tottenham
Bayern Munchen
28.09.2019
Tottenham
Southampton
24.09.2019
Colchester United
Tottenham
21.09.2019
Leicester City
Tottenham